Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 26°C (47%) in São Paulo on May 14, reflecting official forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET), which projects a maximum of 25°C at the Guarulhos International Airport station amid recovering conditions post-cold front. After a polar air mass brought record lows near 7°C and daytime highs of just 20°C on May 12, weakening instability has allowed solar heating under partly cloudy skies, with Climatempo aligning at 26°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports mid-20s peaks due to light winds and low humidity (down to 30%), though afternoon cloud buildup could cap heating; real-time observations will refine this as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 22%
24°C 8%
$17,787 Vol.
$17,787 Vol.
14 may 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
22%
26°C
47%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 22%
24°C 8%
$17,787 Vol.
$17,787 Vol.
14 may 2026
21°C or below
$1,593 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,297 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,743 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,376 Vol.
8%
25°C
$1,755 Vol.
22%
26°C
$1,405 Vol.
47%
27°C
$2,653 Vol.
24%
28°C
$1,331 Vol.
7%
29°C
$1,018 Vol.
1%
30°C
$584 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 26°C (47%) in São Paulo on May 14, reflecting official forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET), which projects a maximum of 25°C at the Guarulhos International Airport station amid recovering conditions post-cold front. After a polar air mass brought record lows near 7°C and daytime highs of just 20°C on May 12, weakening instability has allowed solar heating under partly cloudy skies, with Climatempo aligning at 26°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports mid-20s peaks due to light winds and low humidity (down to 30%), though afternoon cloud buildup could cap heating; real-time observations will refine this as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$17,787Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 26°C (47%) in São Paulo on May 14, reflecting official forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET), which projects a maximum of 25°C at the Guarulhos International Airport station amid recovering conditions post-cold front. After a polar air mass brought record lows near 7°C and daytime highs of just 20°C on May 12, weakening instability has allowed solar heating under partly cloudy skies, with Climatempo aligning at 26°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports mid-20s peaks due to light winds and low humidity (down to 30%), though afternoon cloud buildup could cap heating; real-time observations will refine this as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,787Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 26°C (47%) in São Paulo on May 14, reflecting official forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET), which projects a maximum of 25°C at the Guarulhos International Airport station amid recovering conditions post-cold front. After a polar air mass brought record lows near 7°C and daytime highs of just 20°C on May 12, weakening instability has allowed solar heating under partly cloudy skies, with Climatempo aligning at 26°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports mid-20s peaks due to light winds and low humidity (down to 30%), though afternoon cloud buildup could cap heating; real-time observations will refine this as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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