Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow race among 21–23°C outcomes for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting short-range forecast model ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging on mild daytime highs around 22°C amid a cooling trend after May 1's expected warm spell near 28–30°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and light showers from an approaching frontal system, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks at 21°C if overcast persists, or permit 23°C with afternoon thinning; coastal sea breezes further moderate boundary layer temperatures historically averaging 21°C for early May. New CMA observations and model runs today may refine this 1–2°C spread before resolution via official Qingdao station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 2?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 2?
22°C 32%
21°C 28%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
28%
22°C
32%
23°C
20%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 32%
21°C 28%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
18°C or below
$466 Vol.
1%
19°C
$571 Vol.
6%
20°C
$454 Vol.
11%
21°C
$15 Vol.
28%
22°C
$5 Vol.
32%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$21 Vol.
5%
25°C
$21 Vol.
3%
26°C
$41 Vol.
1%
27°C
$260 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$561 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow race among 21–23°C outcomes for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting short-range forecast model ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging on mild daytime highs around 22°C amid a cooling trend after May 1's expected warm spell near 28–30°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and light showers from an approaching frontal system, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks at 21°C if overcast persists, or permit 23°C with afternoon thinning; coastal sea breezes further moderate boundary layer temperatures historically averaging 21°C for early May. New CMA observations and model runs today may refine this 1–2°C spread before resolution via official Qingdao station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,416Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow race among 21–23°C outcomes for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting short-range forecast model ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging on mild daytime highs around 22°C amid a cooling trend after May 1's expected warm spell near 28–30°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and light showers from an approaching frontal system, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks at 21°C if overcast persists, or permit 23°C with afternoon thinning; coastal sea breezes further moderate boundary layer temperatures historically averaging 21°C for early May. New CMA observations and model runs today may refine this 1–2°C spread before resolution via official Qingdao station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,416Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow race among 21–23°C outcomes for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting short-range forecast model ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converging on mild daytime highs around 22°C amid a cooling trend after May 1's expected warm spell near 28–30°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and light showers from an approaching frontal system, which could limit solar insolation and cap peaks at 21°C if overcast persists, or permit 23°C with afternoon thinning; coastal sea breezes further moderate boundary layer temperatures historically averaging 21°C for early May. New CMA observations and model runs today may refine this 1–2°C spread before resolution via official Qingdao station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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