Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F as the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park observing station on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance for highs near 60°F amid northwest winds and partial clearing after today's overcast conditions holding daytime readings around 59°F. Key differentiators include ensemble forecast spread—GFS runs trending slightly warmer with sunnier skies by midday, versus ECMWF hints of lingering low clouds capping peaks lower—coupled with urban boundary layer effects and timing of solar heating in spring's variable synoptic pattern. No major shifts in the past 24 hours; monitor NWS 12z model updates this afternoon for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 2 de mayo?
58-59°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
62-63°F 18.1%
56-57°F 13%
NUEVO
$10,317 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,317 Vol.
2 may 2026
51°F o menos
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F o más
1%
58-59°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
62-63°F 18.1%
56-57°F 13%
NUEVO
$10,317 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,317 Vol.
2 may 2026
51°F o menos
$3,886 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,093 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$533 Vol.
4%
56-57°F
$445 Vol.
13%
58-59°F
$516 Vol.
34%
60-61°F
$422 Vol.
34%
62-63°F
$285 Vol.
18%
64-65°F
$389 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$799 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$953 Vol.
1%
70°F o más
$995 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F as the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park observing station on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance for highs near 60°F amid northwest winds and partial clearing after today's overcast conditions holding daytime readings around 59°F. Key differentiators include ensemble forecast spread—GFS runs trending slightly warmer with sunnier skies by midday, versus ECMWF hints of lingering low clouds capping peaks lower—coupled with urban boundary layer effects and timing of solar heating in spring's variable synoptic pattern. No major shifts in the past 24 hours; monitor NWS 12z model updates this afternoon for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$10,317Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F as the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park observing station on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance for highs near 60°F amid northwest winds and partial clearing after today's overcast conditions holding daytime readings around 59°F. Key differentiators include ensemble forecast spread—GFS runs trending slightly warmer with sunnier skies by midday, versus ECMWF hints of lingering low clouds capping peaks lower—coupled with urban boundary layer effects and timing of solar heating in spring's variable synoptic pattern. No major shifts in the past 24 hours; monitor NWS 12z model updates this afternoon for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,317Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F as the highest temperature at New York City's Central Park observing station on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance for highs near 60°F amid northwest winds and partial clearing after today's overcast conditions holding daytime readings around 59°F. Key differentiators include ensemble forecast spread—GFS runs trending slightly warmer with sunnier skies by midday, versus ECMWF hints of lingering low clouds capping peaks lower—coupled with urban boundary layer effects and timing of solar heating in spring's variable synoptic pattern. No major shifts in the past 24 hours; monitor NWS 12z model updates this afternoon for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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