Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Munich at 54.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts under the dominant high-pressure system "Hoch WINFRIED," which has delivered clear skies and rising daytime highs over the past week. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on peak afternoon temperatures near 20°C amid abundant sunshine and light winds, building on cool mornings with frost risks noted in DWD warnings. This setup exceeds May climatological averages of 18°C by favoring solar heating without cloud interference, though minor uncertainties persist from potential afternoon cumulus development or urban heat variations. Real-time observations from Munich stations will finalize resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 1?
20°C 56%
21°C 24%
19°C 14%
18°C 3.7%
NUEVO
$28,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,186 Vol.
1 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
56%
21°C
24%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 56%
21°C 24%
19°C 14%
18°C 3.7%
NUEVO
$28,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,186 Vol.
1 may 2026
13°C or below
$1,558 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,842 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,072 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,107 Vol.
4%
19°C
$2,630 Vol.
14%
20°C
$2,162 Vol.
56%
21°C
$1,884 Vol.
24%
22°C
$1,894 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$2,342 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Munich at 54.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts under the dominant high-pressure system "Hoch WINFRIED," which has delivered clear skies and rising daytime highs over the past week. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on peak afternoon temperatures near 20°C amid abundant sunshine and light winds, building on cool mornings with frost risks noted in DWD warnings. This setup exceeds May climatological averages of 18°C by favoring solar heating without cloud interference, though minor uncertainties persist from potential afternoon cumulus development or urban heat variations. Real-time observations from Munich stations will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$28,186Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Munich at 54.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts under the dominant high-pressure system "Hoch WINFRIED," which has delivered clear skies and rising daytime highs over the past week. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on peak afternoon temperatures near 20°C amid abundant sunshine and light winds, building on cool mornings with frost risks noted in DWD warnings. This setup exceeds May climatological averages of 18°C by favoring solar heating without cloud interference, though minor uncertainties persist from potential afternoon cumulus development or urban heat variations. Real-time observations from Munich stations will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,186Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Munich at 54.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts under the dominant high-pressure system "Hoch WINFRIED," which has delivered clear skies and rising daytime highs over the past week. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on peak afternoon temperatures near 20°C amid abundant sunshine and light winds, building on cool mornings with frost risks noted in DWD warnings. This setup exceeds May climatological averages of 18°C by favoring solar heating without cloud interference, though minor uncertainties persist from potential afternoon cumulus development or urban heat variations. Real-time observations from Munich stations will finalize resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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