Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 23–24°C for the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa Airport on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and mild advection from southern Europe. MeteoLive projections indicate a daytime max of 22.3°C under mostly sunny conditions with scattered afternoon clouds, while broader ensembles suggest 1–2°C spread due to variable insolation, light southeast winds (8–10 km/h), and urban-rural gradients. Early May climatology averages 21–22°C, but this anomalously warm setup—up to 27–29°C regionally—elevates the 24°C lead amid inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight model updates for cloud cover refinements resolving near 18:00 local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 2?
24°C 41%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
33%
24°C
41%
25°C
16%
26°C or higher
4%
24°C 41%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
16°C or below
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$574 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$733 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,244 Vol.
1%
22°C
$740 Vol.
7%
23°C
$1,234 Vol.
33%
24°C
$780 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1,419 Vol.
16%
26°C or higher
$1,086 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 23–24°C for the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa Airport on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and mild advection from southern Europe. MeteoLive projections indicate a daytime max of 22.3°C under mostly sunny conditions with scattered afternoon clouds, while broader ensembles suggest 1–2°C spread due to variable insolation, light southeast winds (8–10 km/h), and urban-rural gradients. Early May climatology averages 21–22°C, but this anomalously warm setup—up to 27–29°C regionally—elevates the 24°C lead amid inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight model updates for cloud cover refinements resolving near 18:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$9,843Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 23–24°C for the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa Airport on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and mild advection from southern Europe. MeteoLive projections indicate a daytime max of 22.3°C under mostly sunny conditions with scattered afternoon clouds, while broader ensembles suggest 1–2°C spread due to variable insolation, light southeast winds (8–10 km/h), and urban-rural gradients. Early May climatology averages 21–22°C, but this anomalously warm setup—up to 27–29°C regionally—elevates the 24°C lead amid inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight model updates for cloud cover refinements resolving near 18:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,843Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 23–24°C for the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa Airport on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and mild advection from southern Europe. MeteoLive projections indicate a daytime max of 22.3°C under mostly sunny conditions with scattered afternoon clouds, while broader ensembles suggest 1–2°C spread due to variable insolation, light southeast winds (8–10 km/h), and urban-rural gradients. Early May climatology averages 21–22°C, but this anomalously warm setup—up to 27–29°C regionally—elevates the 24°C lead amid inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight model updates for cloud cover refinements resolving near 18:00 local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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