The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 24-26°C in Mexico City today, May 14, backed by consistent international model ensembles showing highs near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Morning observations at Mexico City International Airport already exceed 18°C, aligning with typical May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where average highs reach the mid-20s°C amid the dry season's end. This robust scientific consensus—driven by weak upper-level instability and Pacific moisture influx—underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 21°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unforecast intensification of isolated afternoon showers suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns suggest minimal risk; monitor hourly airport data and SMN updates through late afternoon for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 14?
21°C or higher 99.7%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$25,737 Vol.
$25,737 Vol.
14 may 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
100%
21°C or higher 99.7%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$25,737 Vol.
$25,737 Vol.
14 may 2026
11°C or below
$673 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$691 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$946 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$834 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,537 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,489 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$864 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,723 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$12,121 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 24-26°C in Mexico City today, May 14, backed by consistent international model ensembles showing highs near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Morning observations at Mexico City International Airport already exceed 18°C, aligning with typical May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where average highs reach the mid-20s°C amid the dry season's end. This robust scientific consensus—driven by weak upper-level instability and Pacific moisture influx—underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 21°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unforecast intensification of isolated afternoon showers suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns suggest minimal risk; monitor hourly airport data and SMN updates through late afternoon for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$25,737Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 24-26°C in Mexico City today, May 14, backed by consistent international model ensembles showing highs near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Morning observations at Mexico City International Airport already exceed 18°C, aligning with typical May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where average highs reach the mid-20s°C amid the dry season's end. This robust scientific consensus—driven by weak upper-level instability and Pacific moisture influx—underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 21°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unforecast intensification of isolated afternoon showers suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns suggest minimal risk; monitor hourly airport data and SMN updates through late afternoon for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,737Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 24-26°C in Mexico City today, May 14, backed by consistent international model ensembles showing highs near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Morning observations at Mexico City International Airport already exceed 18°C, aligning with typical May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where average highs reach the mid-20s°C amid the dry season's end. This robust scientific consensus—driven by weak upper-level instability and Pacific moisture influx—underpins the market's 99.7% implied probability for 21°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unforecast intensification of isolated afternoon showers suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns suggest minimal risk; monitor hourly airport data and SMN updates through late afternoon for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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