Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 36°C or below and 37°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of a maximum around 36–39°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, following unseasonal rains that recently dropped daytime highs to 35–36°C and nighttime lows near 22°C. Recent cooling from western disturbances has lowered the baseline amid above-normal summer projections, but clear conditions could enable stronger solar heating and radiative warming, with low humidity aiding peak afternoon temperatures. Model consensus shows divergence on exact cloud persistence and wind speeds, key differentiators; watch IMD updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
37°C 48%
36°C or below 37%
38°C 13%
39°C 1.8%
$16,243 Vol.
$16,243 Vol.
36°C or below
37%
37°C
48%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
37°C 48%
36°C or below 37%
38°C 13%
39°C 1.8%
$16,243 Vol.
$16,243 Vol.
36°C or below
37%
37°C
48%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 36°C or below and 37°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of a maximum around 36–39°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, following unseasonal rains that recently dropped daytime highs to 35–36°C and nighttime lows near 22°C. Recent cooling from western disturbances has lowered the baseline amid above-normal summer projections, but clear conditions could enable stronger solar heating and radiative warming, with low humidity aiding peak afternoon temperatures. Model consensus shows divergence on exact cloud persistence and wind speeds, key differentiators; watch IMD updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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