India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies with light easterly winds, aligning with trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for 39°C or below. Yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflects recent cooling trends after April heatwaves exceeding 42°C, supported by model consensus showing gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 27°C but limited by moderate humidity (40-80%) and no extreme subsidence. Historical May averages hover around 40°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor restraint. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar insolation or sudden wind shifts boosting afternoon peaks (typically 1400-1600 IST), with hourly observations from Lucknow Airport station determining resolution; updated IMD bulletins expected later today could refine this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 98.4%
40°C 1.2%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$22,986 Vol.
$22,986 Vol.
14 may 2026
39°C or below
98%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 98.4%
40°C 1.2%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$22,986 Vol.
$22,986 Vol.
14 may 2026
39°C or below
$4,066 Vol.
98%
40°C
$3,138 Vol.
1%
41°C
$3,256 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$2,398 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$2,673 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$1,703 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$669 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$827 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,006 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$2,512 Vol.
<1%
49°C or higher
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies with light easterly winds, aligning with trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for 39°C or below. Yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflects recent cooling trends after April heatwaves exceeding 42°C, supported by model consensus showing gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 27°C but limited by moderate humidity (40-80%) and no extreme subsidence. Historical May averages hover around 40°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor restraint. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar insolation or sudden wind shifts boosting afternoon peaks (typically 1400-1600 IST), with hourly observations from Lucknow Airport station determining resolution; updated IMD bulletins expected later today could refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$22,986Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies with light easterly winds, aligning with trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for 39°C or below. Yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflects recent cooling trends after April heatwaves exceeding 42°C, supported by model consensus showing gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 27°C but limited by moderate humidity (40-80%) and no extreme subsidence. Historical May averages hover around 40°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor restraint. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar insolation or sudden wind shifts boosting afternoon peaks (typically 1400-1600 IST), with hourly observations from Lucknow Airport station determining resolution; updated IMD bulletins expected later today could refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,986Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies with light easterly winds, aligning with trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for 39°C or below. Yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflects recent cooling trends after April heatwaves exceeding 42°C, supported by model consensus showing gradual daytime heating from morning lows near 27°C but limited by moderate humidity (40-80%) and no extreme subsidence. Historical May averages hover around 40°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor restraint. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar insolation or sudden wind shifts boosting afternoon peaks (typically 1400-1600 IST), with hourly observations from Lucknow Airport station determining resolution; updated IMD bulletins expected later today could refine this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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