Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 37°C or higher (80.5% implied probability) for Karachi's highest temperature on May 1, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) heatwave advisories issued last week, forecasting highs of 36–40°C amid a mild pre-monsoon surge 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. Late April observations already hit 39°C under persistent high-pressure ridges promoting subsidence and intense solar heating with minimal cloud cover, while current AccuWeather models project peaks near 39°C under hazy, breezy conditions. Historical May patterns show frequent such spikes, though afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty; resolution hinges on PMD's official reading from Karachi Airport by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 1?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 1?
37°C or higher 68%
36°C 11%
35°C 1.0%
30°C <1%
NUEVO
$15,006 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,006 Vol.
1 may 2026
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
22%
37°C or higher
77%
37°C or higher 68%
36°C 11%
35°C 1.0%
30°C <1%
NUEVO
$15,006 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,006 Vol.
1 may 2026
28°C
$1,384 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$811 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,455 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,139 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,581 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,214 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,448 Vol.
1%
36°C
$393 Vol.
22%
37°C or higher
$507 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 37°C or higher (80.5% implied probability) for Karachi's highest temperature on May 1, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) heatwave advisories issued last week, forecasting highs of 36–40°C amid a mild pre-monsoon surge 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. Late April observations already hit 39°C under persistent high-pressure ridges promoting subsidence and intense solar heating with minimal cloud cover, while current AccuWeather models project peaks near 39°C under hazy, breezy conditions. Historical May patterns show frequent such spikes, though afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty; resolution hinges on PMD's official reading from Karachi Airport by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$15,006Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 37°C or higher (80.5% implied probability) for Karachi's highest temperature on May 1, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) heatwave advisories issued last week, forecasting highs of 36–40°C amid a mild pre-monsoon surge 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. Late April observations already hit 39°C under persistent high-pressure ridges promoting subsidence and intense solar heating with minimal cloud cover, while current AccuWeather models project peaks near 39°C under hazy, breezy conditions. Historical May patterns show frequent such spikes, though afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty; resolution hinges on PMD's official reading from Karachi Airport by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,006Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 37°C or higher (80.5% implied probability) for Karachi's highest temperature on May 1, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) heatwave advisories issued last week, forecasting highs of 36–40°C amid a mild pre-monsoon surge 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. Late April observations already hit 39°C under persistent high-pressure ridges promoting subsidence and intense solar heating with minimal cloud cover, while current AccuWeather models project peaks near 39°C under hazy, breezy conditions. Historical May patterns show frequent such spikes, though afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty; resolution hinges on PMD's official reading from Karachi Airport by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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