Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project Jeddah's May 15 peak temperature tightly clustered around 38-40°C, driving the near-even trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 38°C, 31.5% for 39°C, and 26.5% for 40°C or higher. This reflects mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 37.2°C amid intensifying solar insolation and Red Sea sea breeze moderation, but recent National Center for Meteorology updates indicate persistent high-pressure subsidence and hazy skies minimizing cloud interference for above-normal heat. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier arrival caps at 38°C, delays enable 40°C+—and emerging El Niño conditions boosting regional temperatures. New NCM bulletins and model runs today could shift odds before official station resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
39°C 33%
38°C 31%
40°C or higher 27%
37°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
9%
38°C
31%
39°C
33%
40°C or higher
27%
39°C 33%
38°C 31%
40°C or higher 27%
37°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
30°C or below
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,154 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$670 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,094 Vol.
3%
37°C
$209 Vol.
9%
38°C
$291 Vol.
31%
39°C
$110 Vol.
33%
40°C or higher
$247 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project Jeddah's May 15 peak temperature tightly clustered around 38-40°C, driving the near-even trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 38°C, 31.5% for 39°C, and 26.5% for 40°C or higher. This reflects mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 37.2°C amid intensifying solar insolation and Red Sea sea breeze moderation, but recent National Center for Meteorology updates indicate persistent high-pressure subsidence and hazy skies minimizing cloud interference for above-normal heat. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier arrival caps at 38°C, delays enable 40°C+—and emerging El Niño conditions boosting regional temperatures. New NCM bulletins and model runs today could shift odds before official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volumen
$9,865Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project Jeddah's May 15 peak temperature tightly clustered around 38-40°C, driving the near-even trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 38°C, 31.5% for 39°C, and 26.5% for 40°C or higher. This reflects mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 37.2°C amid intensifying solar insolation and Red Sea sea breeze moderation, but recent National Center for Meteorology updates indicate persistent high-pressure subsidence and hazy skies minimizing cloud interference for above-normal heat. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier arrival caps at 38°C, delays enable 40°C+—and emerging El Niño conditions boosting regional temperatures. New NCM bulletins and model runs today could shift odds before official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,865Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project Jeddah's May 15 peak temperature tightly clustered around 38-40°C, driving the near-even trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 38°C, 31.5% for 39°C, and 26.5% for 40°C or higher. This reflects mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 37.2°C amid intensifying solar insolation and Red Sea sea breeze moderation, but recent National Center for Meteorology updates indicate persistent high-pressure subsidence and hazy skies minimizing cloud interference for above-normal heat. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier arrival caps at 38°C, delays enable 40°C+—and emerging El Niño conditions boosting regional temperatures. New NCM bulletins and model runs today could shift odds before official station resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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