Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's highest temperature today at 37-38°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating, closely mirroring trader sentiment with 38°C leading at 32.5% implied probability ahead of 37°C (28.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). The narrow spread reflects model discrepancies of 1-2°C stemming from sea breeze timing off the warm Red Sea—delayed onshore flow enables hotter inland advection toward 39°C, while earlier coastal moderation favors 37°C. This aligns with May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where highs average 37°C amid ±2°C variability, matching recent May 12-13 peaks of 37°C. Monitor hourly observations from Saudi Presidency of Meteorology and Environment for midday resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
37°C 43%
38°C 38%
39°C 26%
36°C 11%
$20,951 Vol.
$20,951 Vol.
14 may 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
11%
37°C
34%
38°C
31%
39°C
26%
40°C or higher
5%
37°C 43%
38°C 38%
39°C 26%
36°C 11%
$20,951 Vol.
$20,951 Vol.
14 may 2026
30°C or below
$2,268 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,164 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,480 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,648 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,171 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,164 Vol.
11%
37°C
$557 Vol.
34%
38°C
$642 Vol.
31%
39°C
$1,143 Vol.
26%
40°C or higher
$1,611 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's highest temperature today at 37-38°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating, closely mirroring trader sentiment with 38°C leading at 32.5% implied probability ahead of 37°C (28.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). The narrow spread reflects model discrepancies of 1-2°C stemming from sea breeze timing off the warm Red Sea—delayed onshore flow enables hotter inland advection toward 39°C, while earlier coastal moderation favors 37°C. This aligns with May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where highs average 37°C amid ±2°C variability, matching recent May 12-13 peaks of 37°C. Monitor hourly observations from Saudi Presidency of Meteorology and Environment for midday resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$20,951Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's highest temperature today at 37-38°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating, closely mirroring trader sentiment with 38°C leading at 32.5% implied probability ahead of 37°C (28.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). The narrow spread reflects model discrepancies of 1-2°C stemming from sea breeze timing off the warm Red Sea—delayed onshore flow enables hotter inland advection toward 39°C, while earlier coastal moderation favors 37°C. This aligns with May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where highs average 37°C amid ±2°C variability, matching recent May 12-13 peaks of 37°C. Monitor hourly observations from Saudi Presidency of Meteorology and Environment for midday resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,951Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's highest temperature today at 37-38°C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating, closely mirroring trader sentiment with 38°C leading at 32.5% implied probability ahead of 37°C (28.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). The narrow spread reflects model discrepancies of 1-2°C stemming from sea breeze timing off the warm Red Sea—delayed onshore flow enables hotter inland advection toward 39°C, while earlier coastal moderation favors 37°C. This aligns with May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where highs average 37°C amid ±2°C variability, matching recent May 12-13 peaks of 37°C. Monitor hourly observations from Saudi Presidency of Meteorology and Environment for midday resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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