Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest BMKG hourly forecasts for nearby Kemayoran showing daytime peaks near 30°C amid cloudy conditions and light rain chances, tempered by international models like those from AccuWeather and BBC projecting highs up to 33°C. This positioning stems from Jakarta's transition into the early dry season—forecast by BMKG to begin in May 2026—with reduced rainfall potential but persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects capping extremes below recent April records of 34–35°C. Afternoon thunderstorms (61% precip chance per AccuWeather) introduce uncertainty, potentially lowering peaks, while upcoming BMKG updates and real-time observations could shift odds before resolution. Historical May averages hover around 32°C, aligning with the clustered leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
33°C 40%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
40%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
28°C or below
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$894 Vol.
2%
31°C
$497 Vol.
5%
32°C
$612 Vol.
10%
33°C
$665 Vol.
40%
34°C
$770 Vol.
27%
35°C
$1,728 Vol.
21%
36°C
$744 Vol.
1%
37°C
$257 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest BMKG hourly forecasts for nearby Kemayoran showing daytime peaks near 30°C amid cloudy conditions and light rain chances, tempered by international models like those from AccuWeather and BBC projecting highs up to 33°C. This positioning stems from Jakarta's transition into the early dry season—forecast by BMKG to begin in May 2026—with reduced rainfall potential but persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects capping extremes below recent April records of 34–35°C. Afternoon thunderstorms (61% precip chance per AccuWeather) introduce uncertainty, potentially lowering peaks, while upcoming BMKG updates and real-time observations could shift odds before resolution. Historical May averages hover around 32°C, aligning with the clustered leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$9,118Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest BMKG hourly forecasts for nearby Kemayoran showing daytime peaks near 30°C amid cloudy conditions and light rain chances, tempered by international models like those from AccuWeather and BBC projecting highs up to 33°C. This positioning stems from Jakarta's transition into the early dry season—forecast by BMKG to begin in May 2026—with reduced rainfall potential but persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects capping extremes below recent April records of 34–35°C. Afternoon thunderstorms (61% precip chance per AccuWeather) introduce uncertainty, potentially lowering peaks, while upcoming BMKG updates and real-time observations could shift odds before resolution. Historical May averages hover around 32°C, aligning with the clustered leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,118Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest BMKG hourly forecasts for nearby Kemayoran showing daytime peaks near 30°C amid cloudy conditions and light rain chances, tempered by international models like those from AccuWeather and BBC projecting highs up to 33°C. This positioning stems from Jakarta's transition into the early dry season—forecast by BMKG to begin in May 2026—with reduced rainfall potential but persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects capping extremes below recent April records of 34–35°C. Afternoon thunderstorms (61% precip chance per AccuWeather) introduce uncertainty, potentially lowering peaks, while upcoming BMKG updates and real-time observations could shift odds before resolution. Historical May averages hover around 32°C, aligning with the clustered leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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