National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly clear skies and light-variable winds, driving the 86% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from official models like the GFS. Today's observations at Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby airports already hit 89°F amid similar sunny conditions and low dewpoints around 55-60°F, signaling a warming trend after early May's heavy rains subsided into a drier high-pressure ridge pattern promoting solar heating and subsidence. The 11.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential sea breeze moderation or thin clouds, with climatological May 15 averages near 88°F providing historical context; expect refined guidance in afternoon NWS updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 90%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 2.1%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
90%
86°F or higher 90%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 2.1%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
67°F or below
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,303 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,298 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,106 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,179 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$234 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$318 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$166 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$263 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$1,220 Vol.
9%
86°F or higher
$441 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly clear skies and light-variable winds, driving the 86% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from official models like the GFS. Today's observations at Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby airports already hit 89°F amid similar sunny conditions and low dewpoints around 55-60°F, signaling a warming trend after early May's heavy rains subsided into a drier high-pressure ridge pattern promoting solar heating and subsidence. The 11.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential sea breeze moderation or thin clouds, with climatological May 15 averages near 88°F providing historical context; expect refined guidance in afternoon NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volumen
$8,714Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly clear skies and light-variable winds, driving the 86% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from official models like the GFS. Today's observations at Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby airports already hit 89°F amid similar sunny conditions and low dewpoints around 55-60°F, signaling a warming trend after early May's heavy rains subsided into a drier high-pressure ridge pattern promoting solar heating and subsidence. The 11.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential sea breeze moderation or thin clouds, with climatological May 15 averages near 88°F providing historical context; expect refined guidance in afternoon NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,714Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly clear skies and light-variable winds, driving the 86% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from official models like the GFS. Today's observations at Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby airports already hit 89°F amid similar sunny conditions and low dewpoints around 55-60°F, signaling a warming trend after early May's heavy rains subsided into a drier high-pressure ridge pattern promoting solar heating and subsidence. The 11.5% odds on 84-85°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential sea breeze moderation or thin clouds, with climatological May 15 averages near 88°F providing historical context; expect refined guidance in afternoon NWS updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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