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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?

abr 30

may 1

may 2

abr 30

may 1

may 2

26°C 48%

27°C 34%

25°C 13%

28°C 6.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$101,772 Vol.

26°C 48%

27°C 34%

25°C 13%

28°C 6.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$101,772 Vol.

19°C or below

$3,157 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$1,063 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$2,314 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$3,734 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$10,009 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$13,926 Vol.

5%

25°C

$16,708 Vol.

13%

26°C

$8,811 Vol.

48%

27°C

$11,400 Vol.

34%

28°C

$14,318 Vol.

6%

29°C or higher

$16,652 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C at the Observatory amid moderating northeast monsoon influences bringing increased cloud cover and occasional rain or drizzle, capping daytime heating despite typical May highs averaging around 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus implying 52% odds for 26°C, as mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon sunshine suppress convective warming, while thicker overcast could limit peaks to 25°C (11%) and brighter breaks push toward 27°C (29%). Current morning readings near 23°C with 70-85% humidity underscore subdued conditions; intraday observations and any forecast refinements later today will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$101,772
Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C at the Observatory amid moderating northeast monsoon influences bringing increased cloud cover and occasional rain or drizzle, capping daytime heating despite typical May highs averaging around 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus implying 52% odds for 26°C, as mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon sunshine suppress convective warming, while thicker overcast could limit peaks to 25°C (11%) and brighter breaks push toward 27°C (29%). Current morning readings near 23°C with 70-85% humidity underscore subdued conditions; intraday observations and any forecast refinements later today will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$101,772
Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "26°C" con 48%, seguido de "27°C" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?" ha generado $101.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?" es "26°C" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "27°C" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.