Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 19°C high in Helsinki on May 2 at 43.5% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C at 27.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia driving southerly flows and ample sunshine for solar heating. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with April 30 peaking near 15°C and May 1 models projecting 17–21°C amid dry conditions triggering wildfire warnings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Clear skies and light winds (4–6 m/s) support daytime peaks in the late afternoon, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around 18–22°C; new 12Z runs from FMI, yr.no, and global ensembles expected later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 2?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 2?
19°C 40%
20°C 26%
21°C 12.6%
18°C 10%
NUEVO
$16,873 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,873 Vol.
2 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
40%
20°C
26%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 40%
20°C 26%
21°C 12.6%
18°C 10%
NUEVO
$16,873 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,873 Vol.
2 may 2026
13°C or below
$6,922 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,302 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,600 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$961 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,787 Vol.
4%
18°C
$1,528 Vol.
10%
19°C
$508 Vol.
40%
20°C
$503 Vol.
26%
21°C
$372 Vol.
13%
22°C
$478 Vol.
6%
23°C or higher
$915 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 19°C high in Helsinki on May 2 at 43.5% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C at 27.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia driving southerly flows and ample sunshine for solar heating. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with April 30 peaking near 15°C and May 1 models projecting 17–21°C amid dry conditions triggering wildfire warnings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Clear skies and light winds (4–6 m/s) support daytime peaks in the late afternoon, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around 18–22°C; new 12Z runs from FMI, yr.no, and global ensembles expected later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$16,873Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 19°C high in Helsinki on May 2 at 43.5% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C at 27.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia driving southerly flows and ample sunshine for solar heating. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with April 30 peaking near 15°C and May 1 models projecting 17–21°C amid dry conditions triggering wildfire warnings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Clear skies and light winds (4–6 m/s) support daytime peaks in the late afternoon, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around 18–22°C; new 12Z runs from FMI, yr.no, and global ensembles expected later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,873Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 19°C high in Helsinki on May 2 at 43.5% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C at 27.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia driving southerly flows and ample sunshine for solar heating. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with April 30 peaking near 15°C and May 1 models projecting 17–21°C amid dry conditions triggering wildfire warnings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Clear skies and light winds (4–6 m/s) support daytime peaks in the late afternoon, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around 18–22°C; new 12Z runs from FMI, yr.no, and global ensembles expected later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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