Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 20°C (38.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 20.5°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia promoting clear skies and southerly advection of warmer air. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind shear—ECMWF ensembles skew slightly higher with reduced westerly gusts (3-5 m/s per Finnish Meteorological Institute observations), while GFS shows marginally cooler peaks from increased mixing. The FMI's conservative hourly forecast caps at 14°C reflects current observations (13°C at 15:00) and observed cooling, but traders weigh global model skill over local short-range guidance. New 12Z runs later today may resolve uncertainties before evening measurements finalize the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 1?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 1?
20°C 41%
21°C 39%
19°C 11%
22°C 8.5%
NUEVO
$35,891 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,891 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
41%
21°C
39%
22°C
9%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 41%
21°C 39%
19°C 11%
22°C 8.5%
NUEVO
$35,891 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,891 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
$6,058 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,693 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,358 Vol.
1%
17°C
$4,630 Vol.
1%
18°C
$4,055 Vol.
3%
19°C
$2,523 Vol.
11%
20°C
$1,326 Vol.
41%
21°C
$1,227 Vol.
39%
22°C
$789 Vol.
9%
23°C
$2,488 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$1,742 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 20°C (38.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 20.5°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia promoting clear skies and southerly advection of warmer air. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind shear—ECMWF ensembles skew slightly higher with reduced westerly gusts (3-5 m/s per Finnish Meteorological Institute observations), while GFS shows marginally cooler peaks from increased mixing. The FMI's conservative hourly forecast caps at 14°C reflects current observations (13°C at 15:00) and observed cooling, but traders weigh global model skill over local short-range guidance. New 12Z runs later today may resolve uncertainties before evening measurements finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$35,891Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 20°C (38.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 20.5°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia promoting clear skies and southerly advection of warmer air. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind shear—ECMWF ensembles skew slightly higher with reduced westerly gusts (3-5 m/s per Finnish Meteorological Institute observations), while GFS shows marginally cooler peaks from increased mixing. The FMI's conservative hourly forecast caps at 14°C reflects current observations (13°C at 15:00) and observed cooling, but traders weigh global model skill over local short-range guidance. New 12Z runs later today may resolve uncertainties before evening measurements finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,891Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 20°C (38.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 20.5°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia promoting clear skies and southerly advection of warmer air. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind shear—ECMWF ensembles skew slightly higher with reduced westerly gusts (3-5 m/s per Finnish Meteorological Institute observations), while GFS shows marginally cooler peaks from increased mixing. The FMI's conservative hourly forecast caps at 14°C reflects current observations (13°C at 15:00) and observed cooling, but traders weigh global model skill over local short-range guidance. New 12Z runs later today may resolve uncertainties before evening measurements finalize the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes