Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated by timeanddate.com show Guangzhou's high temperature on May 15 reaching around 30–31°C (86–88°F), driving the 85% market-implied probability for 30°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong signal amid broken clouds allowing midday solar heating. This positioning stems from recent subtropical ridge strengthening over southern China, suppressing widespread rain until afternoon thunderstorms (72–82% chance), while high humidity (70%+) boosts heat index to near 37°C. May climatology supports this with average highs near 29°C rising into summer patterns, though urban heat island effects in Guangzhou amplify peaks; prior days' observations of 29–32°C highs confirm the warming trend. Hourly updates from Baiyun Airport could refine odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 15 de mayo?
30°C o más 86%
29°C 8%
28°C 1.5%
27°C 1.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C o más
86%
30°C o más 86%
29°C 8%
28°C 1.5%
27°C 1.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
20°C o menos
$486 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,277 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$528 Vol.
1%
28°C
$253 Vol.
2%
29°C
$366 Vol.
8%
30°C o más
$833 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated by timeanddate.com show Guangzhou's high temperature on May 15 reaching around 30–31°C (86–88°F), driving the 85% market-implied probability for 30°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong signal amid broken clouds allowing midday solar heating. This positioning stems from recent subtropical ridge strengthening over southern China, suppressing widespread rain until afternoon thunderstorms (72–82% chance), while high humidity (70%+) boosts heat index to near 37°C. May climatology supports this with average highs near 29°C rising into summer patterns, though urban heat island effects in Guangzhou amplify peaks; prior days' observations of 29–32°C highs confirm the warming trend. Hourly updates from Baiyun Airport could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$6,339Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated by timeanddate.com show Guangzhou's high temperature on May 15 reaching around 30–31°C (86–88°F), driving the 85% market-implied probability for 30°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong signal amid broken clouds allowing midday solar heating. This positioning stems from recent subtropical ridge strengthening over southern China, suppressing widespread rain until afternoon thunderstorms (72–82% chance), while high humidity (70%+) boosts heat index to near 37°C. May climatology supports this with average highs near 29°C rising into summer patterns, though urban heat island effects in Guangzhou amplify peaks; prior days' observations of 29–32°C highs confirm the warming trend. Hourly updates from Baiyun Airport could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,339Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated by timeanddate.com show Guangzhou's high temperature on May 15 reaching around 30–31°C (86–88°F), driving the 85% market-implied probability for 30°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong signal amid broken clouds allowing midday solar heating. This positioning stems from recent subtropical ridge strengthening over southern China, suppressing widespread rain until afternoon thunderstorms (72–82% chance), while high humidity (70%+) boosts heat index to near 37°C. May climatology supports this with average highs near 29°C rising into summer patterns, though urban heat island effects in Guangzhou amplify peaks; prior days' observations of 29–32°C highs confirm the warming trend. Hourly updates from Baiyun Airport could refine odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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