Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting peaks near 30°C at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that favor solar insolation and boundary layer heating from morning lows around 22°C under current high-pressure influence. Early observations confirm sunny conditions enhancing daytime warming in this subtropical monsoon climate, where early May climatological highs average 28–29°C but urban heat island effects often add 1–2°C. Minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development capping intensity at 29–31°C, with official hourly station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 1 de mayo?
30°C 88.9%
31°C 6.2%
32°C o más 2.0%
26°C <1%
$28,757 Vol.
$28,757 Vol.
1 may 2026
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
89%
31°C
6%
32°C o más
2%
30°C 88.9%
31°C 6.2%
32°C o más 2.0%
26°C <1%
$28,757 Vol.
$28,757 Vol.
1 may 2026
26°C
$2,452 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,676 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,161 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,904 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,711 Vol.
89%
31°C
$2,982 Vol.
6%
32°C o más
$3,481 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting peaks near 30°C at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that favor solar insolation and boundary layer heating from morning lows around 22°C under current high-pressure influence. Early observations confirm sunny conditions enhancing daytime warming in this subtropical monsoon climate, where early May climatological highs average 28–29°C but urban heat island effects often add 1–2°C. Minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development capping intensity at 29–31°C, with official hourly station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$28,757Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting peaks near 30°C at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that favor solar insolation and boundary layer heating from morning lows around 22°C under current high-pressure influence. Early observations confirm sunny conditions enhancing daytime warming in this subtropical monsoon climate, where early May climatological highs average 28–29°C but urban heat island effects often add 1–2°C. Minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development capping intensity at 29–31°C, with official hourly station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,757Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on May 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting peaks near 30°C at Baiyun International Airport station amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that favor solar insolation and boundary layer heating from morning lows around 22°C under current high-pressure influence. Early observations confirm sunny conditions enhancing daytime warming in this subtropical monsoon climate, where early May climatological highs average 28–29°C but urban heat island effects often add 1–2°C. Minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development capping intensity at 29–31°C, with official hourly station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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