Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15 (99.3% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service forecasts showing sunny skies and a peak near 85°F, corroborated by private models like AccuWeather projecting 87°F tying a 2013 record. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and maximal solar insolation at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, with recent days already 10–15°F above the May average of ~72°F amid dry air and light winds. Model ensembles show tight agreement through latest runs, with no signals of disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diurnal cloud development or a weak shortwave trough, though low-confidence per current guidance; monitor NWS hourly updates through midday May 15 for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.3%
72-73°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
NUEVO
$30,430 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,430 Vol.
15 may 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
99%
74°F or higher 99.3%
72-73°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
NUEVO
$30,430 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,430 Vol.
15 may 2026
55°F or below
$6,706 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,266 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,884 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,784 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,571 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,127 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$4,141 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15 (99.3% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service forecasts showing sunny skies and a peak near 85°F, corroborated by private models like AccuWeather projecting 87°F tying a 2013 record. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and maximal solar insolation at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, with recent days already 10–15°F above the May average of ~72°F amid dry air and light winds. Model ensembles show tight agreement through latest runs, with no signals of disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diurnal cloud development or a weak shortwave trough, though low-confidence per current guidance; monitor NWS hourly updates through midday May 15 for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volumen
$30,430Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15 (99.3% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service forecasts showing sunny skies and a peak near 85°F, corroborated by private models like AccuWeather projecting 87°F tying a 2013 record. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and maximal solar insolation at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, with recent days already 10–15°F above the May average of ~72°F amid dry air and light winds. Model ensembles show tight agreement through latest runs, with no signals of disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diurnal cloud development or a weak shortwave trough, though low-confidence per current guidance; monitor NWS hourly updates through midday May 15 for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,430Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15 (99.3% implied probability), aligned with National Weather Service forecasts showing sunny skies and a peak near 85°F, corroborated by private models like AccuWeather projecting 87°F tying a 2013 record. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and maximal solar insolation at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, with recent days already 10–15°F above the May average of ~72°F amid dry air and light winds. Model ensembles show tight agreement through latest runs, with no signals of disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen diurnal cloud development or a weak shortwave trough, though low-confidence per current guidance; monitor NWS hourly updates through midday May 15 for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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