Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 1, with 27% for 28°C and 17% for 26°C, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime highs of 26–28°C amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds fostering diurnal heating from morning lows near 16°C. Early May climatology typically sees average highs around 25–26°C, but current conditions—low humidity, ample solar insolation, and no disruptive frontal systems—support slightly above-normal warmth, as evidenced by recent observational data from Beijing stations. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon cloud development or wind shifts; monitor CMA hourly updates and official end-of-day measurements from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 1?
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 5.9%
NUEVO
$35,488 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,488 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
19%
27°C
48%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 5.9%
NUEVO
$35,488 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,488 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C or below
$5,311 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,902 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,341 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,724 Vol.
19%
27°C
$2,761 Vol.
48%
28°C
$2,358 Vol.
27%
29°C
$3,339 Vol.
6%
30°C
$2,295 Vol.
1%
31°C
$3,620 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,749 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,594 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 1, with 27% for 28°C and 17% for 26°C, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime highs of 26–28°C amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds fostering diurnal heating from morning lows near 16°C. Early May climatology typically sees average highs around 25–26°C, but current conditions—low humidity, ample solar insolation, and no disruptive frontal systems—support slightly above-normal warmth, as evidenced by recent observational data from Beijing stations. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon cloud development or wind shifts; monitor CMA hourly updates and official end-of-day measurements from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$35,488Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 1, with 27% for 28°C and 17% for 26°C, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime highs of 26–28°C amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds fostering diurnal heating from morning lows near 16°C. Early May climatology typically sees average highs around 25–26°C, but current conditions—low humidity, ample solar insolation, and no disruptive frontal systems—support slightly above-normal warmth, as evidenced by recent observational data from Beijing stations. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon cloud development or wind shifts; monitor CMA hourly updates and official end-of-day measurements from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,488Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 1, with 27% for 28°C and 17% for 26°C, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime highs of 26–28°C amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds fostering diurnal heating from morning lows near 16°C. Early May climatology typically sees average highs around 25–26°C, but current conditions—low humidity, ample solar insolation, and no disruptive frontal systems—support slightly above-normal warmth, as evidenced by recent observational data from Beijing stations. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon cloud development or wind shifts; monitor CMA hourly updates and official end-of-day measurements from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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