Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 30 reaching 73°F or below at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), reflecting official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system confirming a subdued daily maximum amid persistent cloud cover and showers. A cool upper-level low and associated frontal boundary brought widespread precipitation and gusty winds, capping highs well below seasonal norms of around 80°F, consistent with pre-day forecasts from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office predicting 64–65°F peaks during active flood watches. Historical April analogs show similar synoptic patterns yielding 10–15°F deficits; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions in the final daily climatological report, unlikely given ASOS reliability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 30?
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,492 Vol.
$42,492 Vol.
30 abr 2026
73°F or below
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,492 Vol.
$42,492 Vol.
30 abr 2026
73°F or below
$6,808 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$3,867 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,411 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$6,850 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$4,973 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$6,018 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,437 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,134 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$2,387 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 30 reaching 73°F or below at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), reflecting official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system confirming a subdued daily maximum amid persistent cloud cover and showers. A cool upper-level low and associated frontal boundary brought widespread precipitation and gusty winds, capping highs well below seasonal norms of around 80°F, consistent with pre-day forecasts from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office predicting 64–65°F peaks during active flood watches. Historical April analogs show similar synoptic patterns yielding 10–15°F deficits; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions in the final daily climatological report, unlikely given ASOS reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volumen
$42,492Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 30 reaching 73°F or below at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), reflecting official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system confirming a subdued daily maximum amid persistent cloud cover and showers. A cool upper-level low and associated frontal boundary brought widespread precipitation and gusty winds, capping highs well below seasonal norms of around 80°F, consistent with pre-day forecasts from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office predicting 64–65°F peaks during active flood watches. Historical April analogs show similar synoptic patterns yielding 10–15°F deficits; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions in the final daily climatological report, unlikely given ASOS reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$42,492Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 30 reaching 73°F or below at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), reflecting official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system confirming a subdued daily maximum amid persistent cloud cover and showers. A cool upper-level low and associated frontal boundary brought widespread precipitation and gusty winds, capping highs well below seasonal norms of around 80°F, consistent with pre-day forecasts from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office predicting 64–65°F peaks during active flood watches. Historical April analogs show similar synoptic patterns yielding 10–15°F deficits; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions in the final daily climatological report, unlikely given ASOS reliability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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