Latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts pinpoint Ankara's May 1 high at 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, driving trader consensus with 53.5% implied probability on 16°C, followed by 15°C at 26.5% and 17°C at 15.5%. A lingering upper-level trough from late-April cold fronts has advected cool continental air masses, suppressing daytime heating below the early-May climatological norm of 19°C via stratocumulus decks that limit solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight 1-2°C spreads, with root-mean-square errors around 1.5°C reflecting uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential diurnal cloud breaks under light 10-15 km/h winds. Monitor MGM hourly updates and Esenboğa Airport observations for intraday shifts, as resolution hinges on the station's finalized daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
16°C 54%
15°C 26%
17°C 19%
14°C 5.3%
$29,109 Vol.
$29,109 Vol.
1 may 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
26%
16°C
54%
17°C
19%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 54%
15°C 26%
17°C 19%
14°C 5.3%
$29,109 Vol.
$29,109 Vol.
1 may 2026
11°C or below
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,900 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,432 Vol.
5%
15°C
$3,816 Vol.
26%
16°C
$2,044 Vol.
54%
17°C
$3,121 Vol.
19%
18°C
$3,473 Vol.
3%
19°C
$3,353 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$3,620 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts pinpoint Ankara's May 1 high at 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, driving trader consensus with 53.5% implied probability on 16°C, followed by 15°C at 26.5% and 17°C at 15.5%. A lingering upper-level trough from late-April cold fronts has advected cool continental air masses, suppressing daytime heating below the early-May climatological norm of 19°C via stratocumulus decks that limit solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight 1-2°C spreads, with root-mean-square errors around 1.5°C reflecting uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential diurnal cloud breaks under light 10-15 km/h winds. Monitor MGM hourly updates and Esenboğa Airport observations for intraday shifts, as resolution hinges on the station's finalized daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$29,109Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts pinpoint Ankara's May 1 high at 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, driving trader consensus with 53.5% implied probability on 16°C, followed by 15°C at 26.5% and 17°C at 15.5%. A lingering upper-level trough from late-April cold fronts has advected cool continental air masses, suppressing daytime heating below the early-May climatological norm of 19°C via stratocumulus decks that limit solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight 1-2°C spreads, with root-mean-square errors around 1.5°C reflecting uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential diurnal cloud breaks under light 10-15 km/h winds. Monitor MGM hourly updates and Esenboğa Airport observations for intraday shifts, as resolution hinges on the station's finalized daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$29,109Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts pinpoint Ankara's May 1 high at 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, driving trader consensus with 53.5% implied probability on 16°C, followed by 15°C at 26.5% and 17°C at 15.5%. A lingering upper-level trough from late-April cold fronts has advected cool continental air masses, suppressing daytime heating below the early-May climatological norm of 19°C via stratocumulus decks that limit solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show tight 1-2°C spreads, with root-mean-square errors around 1.5°C reflecting uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential diurnal cloud breaks under light 10-15 km/h winds. Monitor MGM hourly updates and Esenboğa Airport observations for intraday shifts, as resolution hinges on the station's finalized daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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