Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 17 (ending May 2), reflecting CDC FluSurv-NET's Week 15 report of 85.2 overall—the third-highest seasonal cumulative thus far—with a negligible weekly addition of just 0.5 per 100,000, down from 0.7 the prior week. This positioning stems from sharply declining national flu activity, very low outpatient influenza-like illness levels (below baseline), and FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops in laboratory-confirmed hospital admissions amid waning respiratory virus circulation as of late April. Preliminary data face reporting delays, but sustained low transmission dynamics support stability near current levels; Week 16 FluView updates, due imminently, could refine trajectories before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 17, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 17, 2026?
85–90 89%
<80 8%
90–95 5%
80–85 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
<80
8%
80–85
3%
85–90
89%
90–95
5%
95–100
3%
100+
<1%
85–90 89%
<80 8%
90–95 5%
80–85 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
<80
$48 Vol.
8%
80–85
$48 Vol.
3%
85–90
$48 Vol.
89%
90–95
$48 Vol.
5%
95–100
$48 Vol.
3%
100+
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 17 (ending May 2), reflecting CDC FluSurv-NET's Week 15 report of 85.2 overall—the third-highest seasonal cumulative thus far—with a negligible weekly addition of just 0.5 per 100,000, down from 0.7 the prior week. This positioning stems from sharply declining national flu activity, very low outpatient influenza-like illness levels (below baseline), and FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops in laboratory-confirmed hospital admissions amid waning respiratory virus circulation as of late April. Preliminary data face reporting delays, but sustained low transmission dynamics support stability near current levels; Week 16 FluView updates, due imminently, could refine trajectories before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 17 (ending May 2), reflecting CDC FluSurv-NET's Week 15 report of 85.2 overall—the third-highest seasonal cumulative thus far—with a negligible weekly addition of just 0.5 per 100,000, down from 0.7 the prior week. This positioning stems from sharply declining national flu activity, very low outpatient influenza-like illness levels (below baseline), and FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops in laboratory-confirmed hospital admissions amid waning respiratory virus circulation as of late April. Preliminary data face reporting delays, but sustained low transmission dynamics support stability near current levels; Week 16 FluView updates, due imminently, could refine trajectories before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 17 (ending May 2), reflecting CDC FluSurv-NET's Week 15 report of 85.2 overall—the third-highest seasonal cumulative thus far—with a negligible weekly addition of just 0.5 per 100,000, down from 0.7 the prior week. This positioning stems from sharply declining national flu activity, very low outpatient influenza-like illness levels (below baseline), and FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops in laboratory-confirmed hospital admissions amid waning respiratory virus circulation as of late April. Preliminary data face reporting delays, but sustained low transmission dynamics support stability near current levels; Week 16 FluView updates, due imminently, could refine trajectories before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes