Trader consensus favors a Republican victory at 72.5% in the open Florida gubernatorial race, driven by the state's rightward shift, GOP voter registration advantages, and recent polling showing frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading general election hypotheticals against Democrats like David Jolly (47%-40%, Stetson University, March 25-April 13) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (46%-42%). With Gov. Ron DeSantis term-limited, Donalds commands the GOP primary at 46% (Emerson College, late March), aided by fundraising edges and a fragmented Democratic field. Mid-April surveys from Democratic firms suggest tighter contests, but traders emphasize Republican legislative supermajorities and special election gains as key factors bolstering the hold probability ahead of August primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
$16,362 Vol.
$16,362 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
73%
Demócrata
26%
$16,362 Vol.
$16,362 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$6,035 Vol.
73%
Demócrata
$10,327 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors a Republican victory at 72.5% in the open Florida gubernatorial race, driven by the state's rightward shift, GOP voter registration advantages, and recent polling showing frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading general election hypotheticals against Democrats like David Jolly (47%-40%, Stetson University, March 25-April 13) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (46%-42%). With Gov. Ron DeSantis term-limited, Donalds commands the GOP primary at 46% (Emerson College, late March), aided by fundraising edges and a fragmented Democratic field. Mid-April surveys from Democratic firms suggest tighter contests, but traders emphasize Republican legislative supermajorities and special election gains as key factors bolstering the hold probability ahead of August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$16,362Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors a Republican victory at 72.5% in the open Florida gubernatorial race, driven by the state's rightward shift, GOP voter registration advantages, and recent polling showing frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading general election hypotheticals against Democrats like David Jolly (47%-40%, Stetson University, March 25-April 13) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (46%-42%). With Gov. Ron DeSantis term-limited, Donalds commands the GOP primary at 46% (Emerson College, late March), aided by fundraising edges and a fragmented Democratic field. Mid-April surveys from Democratic firms suggest tighter contests, but traders emphasize Republican legislative supermajorities and special election gains as key factors bolstering the hold probability ahead of August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$16,362Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a Republican victory at 72.5% in the open Florida gubernatorial race, driven by the state's rightward shift, GOP voter registration advantages, and recent polling showing frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading general election hypotheticals against Democrats like David Jolly (47%-40%, Stetson University, March 25-April 13) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (46%-42%). With Gov. Ron DeSantis term-limited, Donalds commands the GOP primary at 46% (Emerson College, late March), aided by fundraising edges and a fragmented Democratic field. Mid-April surveys from Democratic firms suggest tighter contests, but traders emphasize Republican legislative supermajorities and special election gains as key factors bolstering the hold probability ahead of August primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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