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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer

icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer
Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer

David Farley 71%

Michelle Milthorpe 27%

Rebecca Scriven <1%

Helen Dalton <1%

Polymarket

$173,979 Vol.

David Farley 71%

Michelle Milthorpe 27%

Rebecca Scriven <1%

Helen Dalton <1%

Polymarket

$173,979 Vol.

icon for David Farley

David Farley

$7,106 Vol.

71%

icon for Michelle Milthorpe

Michelle Milthorpe

$42,660 Vol.

27%

icon for Rebecca Scriven

Rebecca Scriven

$96,778 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helen Dalton

Helen Dalton

$24,333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raissa Butkowski

Raissa Butkowski

$3,103 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).Leaked internal Liberal polling released two days ago positions One Nation's David Farley as the clear frontrunner in the Farrer by-election, driving his 70.5% trader consensus and reflecting rural discontent with Coalition infighting following Sussan Ley's February resignation. Independent Michelle Milthorpe holds 26.5% after narrowing the Liberal margin by 10 points in the 2025 federal contest, bolstered by her local profile amid debates on water management in the Murray-Darling Basin. Early voting began last week for the May 9 poll in this vast NSW Riverina seat, with One Nation's push for its first lower house win amplifying Farley's lead despite scrutiny over his past Labor ties; Liberals' Raissa Butkowski trails at 0.1% amid preference uncertainties.

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Volumen
$173,979
Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).Leaked internal Liberal polling released two days ago positions One Nation's David Farley as the clear frontrunner in the Farrer by-election, driving his 70.5% trader consensus and reflecting rural discontent with Coalition infighting following Sussan Ley's February resignation. Independent Michelle Milthorpe holds 26.5% after narrowing the Liberal margin by 10 points in the 2025 federal contest, bolstered by her local profile amid debates on water management in the Murray-Darling Basin. Early voting began last week for the May 9 poll in this vast NSW Riverina seat, with One Nation's push for its first lower house win amplifying Farley's lead despite scrutiny over his past Labor ties; Liberals' Raissa Butkowski trails at 0.1% amid preference uncertainties.

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Volumen
$173,979
Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "David Farley" con 71%, seguido de "Michelle Milthorpe" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer" ha generado $174K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer" es "David Farley" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Michelle Milthorpe" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Farrer" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.