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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo
Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo

Ricardo Ferraço 56%

Sergio Vidigal 34.8%

Lorenzo Pazolini 29%

Euclério Sampaio 16.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ricardo Ferraço 56%

Sergio Vidigal 34.8%

Lorenzo Pazolini 29%

Euclério Sampaio 16.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ricardo Ferraço

$65 Vol.

56%

Sergio Vidigal

$37 Vol.

35%

Lorenzo Pazolini

$120 Vol.

29%

Euclério Sampaio

$150 Vol.

16%

Arnaldinho Borgo

$141 Vol.

20%

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and UOL places incumbent Governor Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) in the lead for the October 2026 first round, with 36-39% support and a six-point edge over Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), while earlier Quaest surveys showed a technical four-way tie including Paulo Hartung (PSD) and Magno Malta (PL). Ferraço’s 77% approval rating and cross-party endorsements have reinforced his position ahead of the vote, aligning with the market’s elevated pricing on his candidacy. A fragmented field, undecided voters exceeding 25% in recent surveys, and potential second-round runoff dynamics keep other contenders competitive but trailing. Further polling releases, coalition consolidations, and campaign events through the summer could widen or close gaps as voter preferences clarify.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$514
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and UOL places incumbent Governor Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) in the lead for the October 2026 first round, with 36-39% support and a six-point edge over Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), while earlier Quaest surveys showed a technical four-way tie including Paulo Hartung (PSD) and Magno Malta (PL). Ferraço’s 77% approval rating and cross-party endorsements have reinforced his position ahead of the vote, aligning with the market’s elevated pricing on his candidacy. A fragmented field, undecided voters exceeding 25% in recent surveys, and potential second-round runoff dynamics keep other contenders competitive but trailing. Further polling releases, coalition consolidations, and campaign events through the summer could widen or close gaps as voter preferences clarify.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$514
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ricardo Ferraço" con 56%, seguido de "Sergio Vidigal" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo " es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 12, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo ", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo " es "Ricardo Ferraço" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sergio Vidigal" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Espírito Santo " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.