With the Croydon mayoral election set for May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, trader consensus heavily favors Labour's Rowenna Davis at 64% implied probability over incumbent Conservative Jason Perry (27.5%), driven by recent YouGov polling from April 22 showing Davis at 24% to Perry's 23% amid splintered opposition—Greens' Peter Underwood (19%), Liberal Democrats' Richard Howard (17%), and Reform UK's Ben Flook (10%). Vote fragmentation favors a plurality win for Davis, echoing Perry's narrow 589-vote 2022 victory now vulnerable to council tax hikes, library closures, and service criticisms. Perry's manifesto launch this week and ongoing postal vote returns add uncertainty, but no council majority projected heightens focus on the executive mayor role.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Croydon
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Croydon
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 8.0%
Ben Flook <1%
$93,368 Vol.
$93,368 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
28%

Peter Underwood
8%

Ben Flook
1%

Jose Joseph
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 8.0%
Ben Flook <1%
$93,368 Vol.
$93,368 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
28%

Peter Underwood
8%

Ben Flook
1%

Jose Joseph
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the Croydon mayoral election set for May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, trader consensus heavily favors Labour's Rowenna Davis at 64% implied probability over incumbent Conservative Jason Perry (27.5%), driven by recent YouGov polling from April 22 showing Davis at 24% to Perry's 23% amid splintered opposition—Greens' Peter Underwood (19%), Liberal Democrats' Richard Howard (17%), and Reform UK's Ben Flook (10%). Vote fragmentation favors a plurality win for Davis, echoing Perry's narrow 589-vote 2022 victory now vulnerable to council tax hikes, library closures, and service criticisms. Perry's manifesto launch this week and ongoing postal vote returns add uncertainty, but no council majority projected heightens focus on the executive mayor role.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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