High polarization between far-right outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, producing the highest turnout in recent national elections at 57.89 percent of 41.4 million registered voters. Official preliminary counts and subsequent certification by electoral authorities confirmed participation well above historical averages, reflecting intense mobilization on both sides amid a closely contested race that advanced the top two candidates to a June 21 runoff. Trader consensus around the 57-60 percent band aligns with these verified results; only major revisions to validated totals, widespread disputes over blank or invalid ballots, or procedural challenges could realistically shift the outcome from this range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado57-60% 97.6%
60%+ 3.4%
51-54% 1.8%
54-57% 1.6%
$14,802 Vol.
$14,802 Vol.
31 may 2026
<48%
1%
48-51%
6%
51-54%
2%
54-57%
2%
57-60%
98%
60%+
3%
57-60% 97.6%
60%+ 3.4%
51-54% 1.8%
54-57% 1.6%
$14,802 Vol.
$14,802 Vol.
31 may 2026
<48%
$2,540 Vol.
1%
48-51%
$1,960 Vol.
6%
51-54%
$1,959 Vol.
2%
54-57%
$2,101 Vol.
2%
57-60%
$3,883 Vol.
98%
60%+
$2,360 Vol.
3%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between far-right outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, producing the highest turnout in recent national elections at 57.89 percent of 41.4 million registered voters. Official preliminary counts and subsequent certification by electoral authorities confirmed participation well above historical averages, reflecting intense mobilization on both sides amid a closely contested race that advanced the top two candidates to a June 21 runoff. Trader consensus around the 57-60 percent band aligns with these verified results; only major revisions to validated totals, widespread disputes over blank or invalid ballots, or procedural challenges could realistically shift the outcome from this range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$14,802Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between far-right outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, producing the highest turnout in recent national elections at 57.89 percent of 41.4 million registered voters. Official preliminary counts and subsequent certification by electoral authorities confirmed participation well above historical averages, reflecting intense mobilization on both sides amid a closely contested race that advanced the top two candidates to a June 21 runoff. Trader consensus around the 57-60 percent band aligns with these verified results; only major revisions to validated totals, widespread disputes over blank or invalid ballots, or procedural challenges could realistically shift the outcome from this range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$14,802Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High polarization between far-right outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, producing the highest turnout in recent national elections at 57.89 percent of 41.4 million registered voters. Official preliminary counts and subsequent certification by electoral authorities confirmed participation well above historical averages, reflecting intense mobilization on both sides amid a closely contested race that advanced the top two candidates to a June 21 runoff. Trader consensus around the 57-60 percent band aligns with these verified results; only major revisions to validated totals, widespread disputes over blank or invalid ballots, or procedural challenges could realistically shift the outcome from this range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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