**High political polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated first-round voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election.** Security concerns, governance issues, and the concentration of support around two polarizing figures—capturing over 84% of valid votes—mobilized participation, producing a historic turnout of 57.89% among roughly 41.4 million registered voters. This marked a roughly three-point increase from 2022 levels, reflecting strong public interest amid a competitive field and opposition consolidation against the ruling Historic Pact. International observers noted an orderly process, supporting the market’s strong consensus around the 57-60% band. Lower turnout scenarios could still arise from unexpected abstention in key regions, adverse weather, or last-minute shifts in campaign intensity, though such factors would need to overcome the observed mobilization trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado57-60% 97.6%
48-51% 4.6%
54-57% 3.0%
51-54% 1.8%
$14,802 Vol.
$14,802 Vol.
<48%
1%
48-51%
5%
51-54%
2%
54-57%
3%
57-60%
98%
60%+
9%
57-60% 97.6%
48-51% 4.6%
54-57% 3.0%
51-54% 1.8%
$14,802 Vol.
$14,802 Vol.
<48%
1%
48-51%
5%
51-54%
2%
54-57%
3%
57-60%
98%
60%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**High political polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated first-round voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election.** Security concerns, governance issues, and the concentration of support around two polarizing figures—capturing over 84% of valid votes—mobilized participation, producing a historic turnout of 57.89% among roughly 41.4 million registered voters. This marked a roughly three-point increase from 2022 levels, reflecting strong public interest amid a competitive field and opposition consolidation against the ruling Historic Pact. International observers noted an orderly process, supporting the market’s strong consensus around the 57-60% band. Lower turnout scenarios could still arise from unexpected abstention in key regions, adverse weather, or last-minute shifts in campaign intensity, though such factors would need to overcome the observed mobilization trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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