**High political polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated first-round voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election.** Security concerns, governance issues, and the concentration of support around two polarizing figures—capturing over 84% of valid votes—mobilized participation, producing a historic turnout of 57.89% among roughly 41.4 million registered voters. This marked a roughly three-point increase from 2022 levels, reflecting strong public interest amid a competitive field and opposition consolidation against the ruling Historic Pact. International observers noted an orderly process, supporting the market’s strong consensus around the 57-60% band. Lower turnout scenarios could still arise from unexpected abstention in key regions, adverse weather, or last-minute shifts in campaign intensity, though such factors would need to overcome the observed mobilization trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado57-60% 97.6%
48-51% 4.6%
54-57% 3.0%
51-54% 1.8%
$14,802 Vol.
$14,802 Vol.
31 may 2026
<48%
1%
48-51%
5%
51-54%
2%
54-57%
3%
57-60%
98%
60%+
9%
57-60% 97.6%
48-51% 4.6%
54-57% 3.0%
51-54% 1.8%
$14,802 Vol.
$14,802 Vol.
31 may 2026
<48%
$2,540 Vol.
1%
48-51%
$1,960 Vol.
5%
51-54%
$1,959 Vol.
2%
54-57%
$2,101 Vol.
3%
57-60%
$3,883 Vol.
98%
60%+
$2,360 Vol.
9%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**High political polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated first-round voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election.** Security concerns, governance issues, and the concentration of support around two polarizing figures—capturing over 84% of valid votes—mobilized participation, producing a historic turnout of 57.89% among roughly 41.4 million registered voters. This marked a roughly three-point increase from 2022 levels, reflecting strong public interest amid a competitive field and opposition consolidation against the ruling Historic Pact. International observers noted an orderly process, supporting the market’s strong consensus around the 57-60% band.
Lower turnout scenarios could still arise from unexpected abstention in key regions, adverse weather, or last-minute shifts in campaign intensity, though such factors would need to overcome the observed mobilization trends.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$14,802Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**High political polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated first-round voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election.** Security concerns, governance issues, and the concentration of support around two polarizing figures—capturing over 84% of valid votes—mobilized participation, producing a historic turnout of 57.89% among roughly 41.4 million registered voters. This marked a roughly three-point increase from 2022 levels, reflecting strong public interest amid a competitive field and opposition consolidation against the ruling Historic Pact. International observers noted an orderly process, supporting the market’s strong consensus around the 57-60% band.
Lower turnout scenarios could still arise from unexpected abstention in key regions, adverse weather, or last-minute shifts in campaign intensity, though such factors would need to overcome the observed mobilization trends.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$14,802Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High political polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda drove elevated first-round voter engagement in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election.** Security concerns, governance issues, and the concentration of support around two polarizing figures—capturing over 84% of valid votes—mobilized participation, producing a historic turnout of 57.89% among roughly 41.4 million registered voters. This marked a roughly three-point increase from 2022 levels, reflecting strong public interest amid a competitive field and opposition consolidation against the ruling Historic Pact. International observers noted an orderly process, supporting the market’s strong consensus around the 57-60% band. Lower turnout scenarios could still arise from unexpected abstention in key regions, adverse weather, or last-minute shifts in campaign intensity, though such factors would need to overcome the observed mobilization trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes