Skip to main content
icon for Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar
Política·Elecciones Globales

Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar

icon for Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar
Política·Elecciones Globales

Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar

Abelardo de la Espriella 51%

Paloma Valencia 41%

Iván Cepeda Castro 5.4%

Juan Daniel Oviedo 2.7%

Polymarket

$38,532 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 51%

Paloma Valencia 41%

Iván Cepeda Castro 5.4%

Juan Daniel Oviedo 2.7%

Polymarket

$38,532 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$3,048 Vol.

51%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$2,730 Vol.

41%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$939 Vol.

5%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$2,075 Vol.

3%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$2,066 Vol.

2%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$2,155 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$2,069 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$2,316 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$2,042 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$2,135 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$2,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$2,202 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$3,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$2,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$2,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$2,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$2,010 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls, including Invamer's April 27 survey and AtlasIntel's late-April release, position left-wing Senator Iván Cepeda as the first-round leader with 38–44% support ahead of the May 31 vote, while right-wing lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella edges Paloma Valencia for second place at around 20–24%. De la Espriella's slight lead in trader consensus stems from his consolidation as the primary right-wing alternative post-March primaries, where Valencia surged but has since stabilized amid fragmented conservative support. Valencia's running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo bolsters her centrist appeal, keeping the second-place race competitive; runoff scenarios favor her over Cepeda. No major shifts in the past week, but voter turnout in battleground regions could tip the balance.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$38,532
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls, including Invamer's April 27 survey and AtlasIntel's late-April release, position left-wing Senator Iván Cepeda as the first-round leader with 38–44% support ahead of the May 31 vote, while right-wing lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella edges Paloma Valencia for second place at around 20–24%. De la Espriella's slight lead in trader consensus stems from his consolidation as the primary right-wing alternative post-March primaries, where Valencia surged but has since stabilized amid fragmented conservative support. Valencia's running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo bolsters her centrist appeal, keeping the second-place race competitive; runoff scenarios favor her over Cepeda. No major shifts in the past week, but voter turnout in battleground regions could tip the balance.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$38,532
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Abelardo de la Espriella" con 51%, seguido de "Paloma Valencia" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar" ha generado $38.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar" es "Abelardo de la Espriella" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Paloma Valencia" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.