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Política·Primarias

CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Manny Rutinel 84%

Shannon Bird 13%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

John Szemler <1%

Polymarket

$16,948 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 84%

Shannon Bird 13%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

John Szemler <1%

Polymarket

$16,948 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$10,608 Vol.

84%

Shannon Bird

$1,945 Vol.

13%

Yadira Caraveo

$845 Vol.

<1%

John Szemler

$1,014 Vol.

<1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$1,129 Vol.

<1%

Dave Young

$1,407 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising lead—nearly $1 million raised last quarter—recent endorsements from SEIU Colorado, COWINS, and Latino Victory Project independent expenditures, plus strong assembly support exceeding 80% in preference votes. Former Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 14% despite her April 20-22 internal poll showing a 25%-24% edge amid 45% undecideds, as pro-Rutinel groups launched ads branding her "ICE’s favorite Democrat." Ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo and fringe challengers like Amie Baca-Oehlert linger at 0.1% without active campaigns, underscoring a clear two-way race in this battleground district targeting vulnerable GOP Rep. Gabe Evans.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$16,948
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising lead—nearly $1 million raised last quarter—recent endorsements from SEIU Colorado, COWINS, and Latino Victory Project independent expenditures, plus strong assembly support exceeding 80% in preference votes. Former Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 14% despite her April 20-22 internal poll showing a 25%-24% edge amid 45% undecideds, as pro-Rutinel groups launched ads branding her "ICE’s favorite Democrat." Ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo and fringe challengers like Amie Baca-Oehlert linger at 0.1% without active campaigns, underscoring a clear two-way race in this battleground district targeting vulnerable GOP Rep. Gabe Evans.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$16,948
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Manny Rutinel" con 84%, seguido de "Shannon Bird" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $16.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Manny Rutinel" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Shannon Bird" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CO-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.