Park Soo-hyun's 93% implied probability in the Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial election reflects strong recent polling leads over incumbent Kim Tae-heum of the People Power Party, signaling trader consensus on Democratic Party momentum ahead of the June 3 vote. A fresh KBS poll shows Park at 44% to Kim's 23%, while an April 21 TJB survey had her at 42.2% versus 29.5%, both outside the margin of error; earlier polls confirm her edge post-nomination runoff win on April 15. Having resigned her National Assembly seat on April 29, Park emphasizes balanced regional growth and Daejeon integration. Late-breaking scandals, national sentiment shifts, or high ruling party turnout could challenge this positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPeople Power Party draws 25 applicants for 9 by-election seats, including several prominent figures, further fragmenting support and diminishing Yoon Sang-hyun's viability as a
People Power Party draws 25 applicants for 9 by-election seats, including several prominent figures, further fragmenting support and diminishing Yoon Sang-hyun's viability as a candidate
Polymarket data shows Park Soo‑hyun’s implied win probability at 94.5 % after the primary victory and strong poll numbers, reinforcing market confidence
Polymarket data shows Park Soo‑hyun’s implied win probability at 94.5 % after the primary victory and strong poll numbers, reinforcing market confidence
Democratic Party nominates Jeon Eun-su for Asan-eul by-election, the district vacated by Kang Hoon-sik's resignation, confirming his political focus away from the gubernatorial
Democratic Party nominates Jeon Eun-su for Asan-eul by-election, the district vacated by Kang Hoon-sik's resignation, confirming his political focus away from the gubernatorial race
Democratic Party names “Cho Kuk sniper” Kim Yong‑nam for a different constituency, confirming that Kang Hoon‑sik will remain as presidential chief of staff and will not run for
Democratic Party names “Cho Kuk sniper” Kim Yong‑nam for a different constituency, confirming that Kang Hoon‑sik will remain as presidential chief of staff and will not run for governor
Reform Party leader Lee Jun-seok announced Cho Eung-chun’s bid for Gyeonggi governor, highlighting a competitive multi-party environment that further marginalized Sung Il-jong’s
Reform Party leader Lee Jun-seok announced Cho Eung-chun’s bid for Gyeonggi governor, highlighting a competitive multi-party environment that further marginalized Sung Il-jong’s position in Chungnam politics
Moon Jin‑seok withdraws from the governor race altogether, endorsing Park Soo‑hyun as the Democratic Party’s final candidate
Moon Jin‑seok plunges to 0%20%
Moon Jin‑seok withdraws from the governor race altogether, endorsing Park Soo‑hyun as the Democratic Party’s final candidate
Park Soo-hyun pledges a focused 2-year term emphasizing South Chungcheong-Daejeon integration, presenting a clear policy vision
Park Soo-hyun pledges a focused 2-year term emphasizing South Chungcheong-Daejeon integration, presenting a clear policy vision
Park Soo‑hyun unveils a 2‑year “South Chungcheong‑Daejeon integration” platform, gaining additional media coverage and voter enthusiasm
Park Soo‑hyun surges to 95%71%
Park Soo‑hyun unveils a 2‑year “South Chungcheong‑Daejeon integration” platform, gaining additional media coverage and voter enthusiasm
Kim Tae‑heum pledges a 50‑trillion‑won “Silicon Valley” investment plan, attempting to revive his campaign but failing to lift the
Kim Tae-heum rises to 4%1%
Kim Tae‑heum pledges a 50‑trillion‑won “Silicon Valley” investment plan, attempting to revive his campaign but failing to lift the
Kim Tae‑heum announces a 50‑trillion‑won “Silicon Valley” investment pledge and the Asan Bay Valley project, attempting to boost his platform but failing to lift market odds
Kim Tae‑heum rises to 4%1%
Kim Tae‑heum announces a 50‑trillion‑won “Silicon Valley” investment pledge and the Asan Bay Valley project, attempting to boost his platform but failing to lift market odds
Kang Hoon-sik resigns from National Assembly seat, confirming he will not run for governor and triggering by-election preparations in his district
Kang Hoon-sik resigns from National Assembly seat, confirming he will not run for governor and triggering by-election preparations in his district
Democratic Party leader Jung Chung-rae endorses Park Soo-hyun, personally guaranteeing his capability to develop Chungcheongnam
Park Soo-hyun rises to 95%1%
Democratic Party leader Jung Chung-rae endorses Park Soo-hyun, personally guaranteeing his capability to develop Chungcheongnam
Park Soo‑hyun announces she will resign from the National Assembly on April 29‑30 to run for governor, confirming her full‑time candidacy
Park Soo‑hyun surges to 96%74%
Park Soo‑hyun announces she will resign from the National Assembly on April 29‑30 to run for governor, confirming her full‑time candidacy
Park Soo-hyun announces plan to resign National Assembly seat by April 29-30 to focus on gubernatorial campaign
Park Soo-hyun rises to 96%1%
Park Soo-hyun announces plan to resign National Assembly seat by April 29-30 to focus on gubernatorial campaign
Poll released by Cho Won C&I shows Park Soo‑hyun at 42.2 % in Chungnam, far ahead of incumbent PPP governor Kim Tae‑heum (29.5 %)
Park Soo‑hyun surges to 88%64%
Poll released by Cho Won C&I shows Park Soo‑hyun at 42.2 % in Chungnam, far ahead of incumbent PPP governor Kim Tae‑heum (29.5 %)
Polls show Park Soo-hyun leading incumbent Kim Tae-heum by double digits, boosting market confidence
Park Soo-hyun rises to 94%2%
Polls show Park Soo-hyun leading incumbent Kim Tae-heum by double digits, boosting market confidence
Official announcement of Park Soo-hyun's nomination victory over Yang Seung-jo, confirming Park as the Democratic Party candidate to face incumbent Kim Tae-heum, causing Yang's
Yang Seung-jo plunges to 3%66%
Official announcement of Park Soo-hyun's nomination victory over Yang Seung-jo, confirming Park as the Democratic Party candidate to face incumbent Kim Tae-heum, causing Yang's market
Democratic Party leader Jung Chung‑rae publicly endorses Park Soo‑hyun, praising her development plan for the province
Park Soo‑hyun surges to 91%69%
Democratic Party leader Jung Chung‑rae publicly endorses Park Soo‑hyun, praising her development plan for the province
Park Soo‑hyun wins the Democratic Party primary, cementing her lead and pushing Kim Tae‑heum’s
Kim Tae-heum dips to 3%1%
Park Soo‑hyun wins the Democratic Party primary, cementing her lead and pushing Kim Tae‑heum’s
Park Soo‑hyun wins the Democratic Party primary with a 94.5 % implied probability, widening the gap to Kim Tae‑heum’s 4 % market share
Kim Tae‑heum dips to 3%1%
Park Soo‑hyun wins the Democratic Party primary with a 94.5 % implied probability, widening the gap to Kim Tae‑heum’s 4 % market share
Park Soo-hyun wins Democratic Party nomination for Chungcheongnam governor, defeating Yang Seung-jo in runoff
Park Soo-hyun surges to 92%65%
Park Soo-hyun wins Democratic Party nomination for Chungcheongnam governor, defeating Yang Seung-jo in runoff
Moon Jin‑seok calls for the nomination of Kim Yong as a “prosecutorial reform” candidate, shifting his focus to party‑wide strategy and reviving his relevance
Moon Jin‑seok surges to 20%19%
Moon Jin‑seok calls for the nomination of Kim Yong as a “prosecutorial reform” candidate, shifting his focus to party‑wide strategy and reviving his relevance
At a People Power Party Supreme Council meeting, Yoon Sang-hyun criticizes party leadership for lack of support, highlighting internal struggles that prevent effective campaigning
At a People Power Party Supreme Council meeting, Yoon Sang-hyun criticizes party leadership for lack of support, highlighting internal struggles that prevent effective campaigning and contributing to his market
Park Soo-hyun wins the Democratic Party primary runoff against Yang Seung-jo, becoming the official party candidate for Chungcheongnam governor, sharply reducing Yang's chances
Yang Seung-jo plunges to 3%77%
Park Soo-hyun wins the Democratic Party primary runoff against Yang Seung-jo, becoming the official party candidate for Chungcheongnam governor, sharply reducing Yang's chances
News broke that the ruling party’s Chungnam governor race headed to a runoff between Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, confirming Sung Il-jong’s exclusion from the main contest
News broke that the ruling party’s Chungnam governor race headed to a runoff between Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, confirming Sung Il-jong’s exclusion from the main contest
Democratic Party announces runoff candidates for Chungcheongnam governor, confirming Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, effectively excluding Yoon Sang-hyun from major contention
Democratic Party announces runoff candidates for Chungcheongnam governor, confirming Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, effectively excluding Yoon Sang-hyun from major contention and solidifying his market
The Democratic Party announced a runoff between Park Soo‑hyun and former Governor Yang Seung‑jo for the Chungcheongnam‑do gubernatorial nomination, effectively sidelining Moon
The Democratic Party announced a runoff between Park Soo‑hyun and former Governor Yang Seung‑jo for the Chungcheongnam‑do gubernatorial nomination, effectively sidelining Moon Jin‑seok’s candidacy
Democratic Party announces runoff candidates for Chungcheongnam governor: Park Soo-hyun and former governor Yang Seung-jo
Park Soo-hyun surges to 27%20%
Democratic Party announces runoff candidates for Chungcheongnam governor: Park Soo-hyun and former governor Yang Seung-jo
Democratic Party announces runoff candidates for Chungnam governor nomination: Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, indicating Yang's survival but signaling a narrowing path to
Yang Seung-jo surges to 75%34%
Democratic Party announces runoff candidates for Chungnam governor nomination: Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, indicating Yang's survival but signaling a narrowing path to nomination
Democratic Party officially confirmed Park Soo-hyun as its candidate for Chungcheongnam-do governor, further reducing Sung Il-jong’s viability in the race
Sung Il-jong dips to 0%1%
Democratic Party officially confirmed Park Soo-hyun as its candidate for Chungcheongnam-do governor, further reducing Sung Il-jong’s viability in the race
Park Soo-hyun confirmed as a main candidate in Democratic Party primary, intensifying his campaign efforts
Park Soo-hyun jumps to 30%13%
Park Soo-hyun confirmed as a main candidate in Democratic Party primary, intensifying his campaign efforts
Park Soo-hyun takes a commemorative photo at a joint speech event at the Democratic Party headquarters, reinforcing his frontrunner status and further marginalizing Yoon
Yoon Sang-hyun dips to 0%1%
Park Soo-hyun takes a commemorative photo at a joint speech event at the Democratic Party headquarters, reinforcing his frontrunner status and further marginalizing Yoon Sang-hyun's chances
Kim Tae‑heum skips filing for the governor race again, reinforcing doubts about his campaign viability
Kim Tae‑heum drops to 24%11%
Kim Tae‑heum skips filing for the governor race again, reinforcing doubts about his campaign viability
PPP officially confirms Kim Tae‑heum as its sole candidate for South Chungcheong governor, but the late confirmation fuels speculation and the
Kim Tae-heum jumps to 22%13%
PPP officially confirms Kim Tae‑heum as its sole candidate for South Chungcheong governor, but the late confirmation fuels speculation and the
Democratic Party finalises Park Soo‑hyun’s nomination after a runoff, presenting a strong challenger to Kim Tae‑heum
Kim Tae-heum drops to 9%13%
Democratic Party finalises Park Soo‑hyun’s nomination after a runoff, presenting a strong challenger to Kim Tae‑heum
The Democratic Party officially announces Park Soo‑hyun’s candidacy after a runoff, confirming the party’s ticket and causing Kang Hoon‑sik’s odds to collapse to near‑zero
Kang Hoon‑sik plunges to 0%19%
The Democratic Party officially announces Park Soo‑hyun’s candidacy after a runoff, confirming the party’s ticket and causing Kang Hoon‑sik’s odds to collapse to near‑zero
Park Soo‑hyun’s victory is cemented at the party headquarters;
Kang Hoon‑sik plunges to 0%42%
analysts note Kang Hoon‑sik’s campaign has collapsed, driving the
People Power Party officially confirms Kim Tae‑heum as its sole candidate for South Chungcheong governor, after earlier nomination uncertainty
Kim Tae‑heum jumps to 35%13%
People Power Party officially confirms Kim Tae‑heum as its sole candidate for South Chungcheong governor, after earlier nomination uncertainty
Prosecutors drop the investigation into Moon Jin‑seok, clearing him of wrongdoing
Moon Jin‑seok jumps to 11%10%
Prosecutors drop the investigation into Moon Jin‑seok, clearing him of wrongdoing
People Power Party announces it will hold an additional contest in South Chungcheong after Kim Tae‑heum’s delayed nomination, further eroding confidence
Kim Tae-heum drops to 9%14%
People Power Party announces it will hold an additional contest in South Chungcheong after Kim Tae‑heum’s delayed nomination, further eroding confidence
The Chungnam Election Commission opened preliminary registration for county‑governor candidates, signalling the start of the formal nomination window and prompting speculation
Moon Jin‑seok rises to 36%4%
The Chungnam Election Commission opened preliminary registration for county‑governor candidates, signalling the start of the formal nomination window and prompting speculation that Moon Jin‑seok would not file
Democratic Party officially confirms Park Soo-hyun as its candidate for Chungcheongnam governor, effectively sidelining Kang Hoon-sik from the race
Kang Hoon-sik plunges to 0%19%
Democratic Party officially confirms Park Soo-hyun as its candidate for Chungcheongnam governor, effectively sidelining Kang Hoon-sik from the race
PPP heavyweights Oh Se‑hoon and Kim Tae‑heum skip filing for the governor race, raising doubts about Kim’s candidacy and prompting a 13‑point
Kim Tae-heum drops to 15%13%
PPP heavyweights Oh Se‑hoon and Kim Tae‑heum skip filing for the governor race, raising doubts about Kim’s candidacy and prompting a 13‑point
Democratic Party sets primary elections for Daejeon mayor and Chungnam governor, with Yang Seung-jo officially listed as a primary candidate, maintaining his presence in the race
Yang Seung-jo surges to 41%25%
Democratic Party sets primary elections for Daejeon mayor and Chungnam governor, with Yang Seung-jo officially listed as a primary candidate, maintaining his presence in the race
Democratic Party announced runoff candidates for Chungnam governor as Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, sidelining Sung Il-jong and signaling his diminished market prospects
Sung Il-jong drops to 1%13%
Democratic Party announced runoff candidates for Chungnam governor as Park Soo-hyun and Yang Seung-jo, sidelining Sung Il-jong and signaling his diminished market prospects
A sudden surge in Yoon Sang-hyun's market
Yoon Sang-hyun surges to 26%25%
A sudden surge in Yoon Sang-hyun's market
Democratic Party final‑round primary results confirm Park Soo‑hyun as the official governor candidate, effectively ending Kang Hoon‑sik’s bid and sending his
Kang Hoon‑sik plunges to 42%21%
Democratic Party final‑round primary results confirm Park Soo‑hyun as the official governor candidate, effectively ending Kang Hoon‑sik’s bid and sending his
Moon Jin‑seok’s earlier support for Kim Yong resurfaced in a parliamentary debate, drawing criticism from rival party factions and causing a sharp sell‑off on his outcome
Moon Jin‑seok jumps to 12%9%
Moon Jin‑seok’s earlier support for Kim Yong resurfaced in a parliamentary debate, drawing criticism from rival party factions and causing a sharp sell‑off on his outcome
Market reacts to Democratic Party's internal discussions and rumors about candidate nominations for Chungcheongnam governor, with Kang's chances briefly rising amid uncertainty
Kang Hoon-sik surges to 56%27%
Market reacts to Democratic Party's internal discussions and rumors about candidate nominations for Chungcheongnam governor, with Kang's chances briefly rising amid uncertainty
Moon Jin‑seok publicly apologises and announces he will suspend his campaign pending the investigation’s outcome
Moon Jin‑seok surges to 30%27%
Moon Jin‑seok publicly apologises and announces he will suspend his campaign pending the investigation’s outcome
Democratic Party of Korea confirmed separate nominations for mayor of Daejeon and governor of Chungnam, effectively ending integration plans and solidifying other candidates’
Sung Il-jong plunges to 2%16%
Democratic Party of Korea confirmed separate nominations for mayor of Daejeon and governor of Chungnam, effectively ending integration plans and solidifying other candidates’ positions, weakening Sung Il-jong’s chances
Kang Hoon‑sik meets Qatar’s Trade Minister to discuss AI and semiconductor investment, highlighting his national‑level profile and briefly reviving market confidence
Kang Hoon‑sik surges to 47%18%
Kang Hoon‑sik meets Qatar’s Trade Minister to discuss AI and semiconductor investment, highlighting his national‑level profile and briefly reviving market confidence
A leaked internal memo suggests Kang Hoon‑sik could be the “bridge” candidate for the merged Daejeon‑Chungcheongnam entity, pushing his odds to a market‑high
Kang Hoon‑sik surges to 63%28%
A leaked internal memo suggests Kang Hoon‑sik could be the “bridge” candidate for the merged Daejeon‑Chungcheongnam entity, pushing his odds to a market‑high
A poll released by the Democratic Party’s internal research unit showed Moon Jin‑seok trailing far behind the leading candidates, reinforcing market doubts about his viability
Moon Jin‑seok plunges to 4%32%
A poll released by the Democratic Party’s internal research unit showed Moon Jin‑seok trailing far behind the leading candidates, reinforcing market doubts about his viability
The party’s central committee announces Kang Hoon‑sik remains in contention for the gubernatorial nomination, sparking a rapid rebound
Kang Hoon‑sik surges to 35%24%
The party’s central committee announces Kang Hoon‑sik remains in contention for the gubernatorial nomination, sparking a rapid rebound
Moon Jin‑seok is implicated in a scandal over alleged misuse of party funds;
Moon Jin‑seok plunges to 7%30%
prosecutors launch a preliminary investigation
Park Soo-hyun gains momentum in party primary polls, signaling growing support ahead of runoff
Park Soo-hyun jumps to 36%14%
Park Soo-hyun gains momentum in party primary polls, signaling growing support ahead of runoff
Rumors surface that the Democratic Party will drop Kang Hoon‑sik in favor of former governor Yang Seung‑jo, leading to a sharp
Kang Hoon‑sik plunges to 11%23%
Rumors surface that the Democratic Party will drop Kang Hoon‑sik in favor of former governor Yang Seung‑jo, leading to a sharp
Opposition lawmakers file a “special bill” to block the Daejeon‑Chungcheong merger, arguing it is a ploy to promote Kang Hoon‑sik;
Kang Hoon‑sik drops to 29%12%
the backlash reduces his perceived viability
Market volatility reflects uncertainty as Yoon Sang-hyun's
Yoon Sang-hyun plunges to 2%27%
Market volatility reflects uncertainty as Yoon Sang-hyun's
Media reports that Kang Hoon‑sik is being floated by senior party officials as a “strategic” candidate to challenge the incumbent People Power governor, causing a sharp
Kang Hoon‑sik jumps to 41%7%
Media reports that Kang Hoon‑sik is being floated by senior party officials as a “strategic” candidate to challenge the incumbent People Power governor, causing a sharp
Yang Seung‑jo’s 17% implied probability falls to 32% as Park Soo‑hyun’s lead rises
Yang Seung‑jo surges to 32%15%
Yang Seung‑jo’s 17% implied probability falls to 32% as Park Soo‑hyun’s lead rises
Yang Seung‑jo’s 18% odds fall to 17% after Park Soo‑hyun’s lead
Yang Seung‑jo dips to 17%1%
Yang Seung‑jo’s 18% odds fall to 17% after Park Soo‑hyun’s lead
Yang Seung‑jo’s 18% implied probability drops as Park Soo‑hyun secures 18%
Yang Seung‑jo’s 18% implied probability drops as Park Soo‑hyun secures 18%
Internal discord within the People Power Party deepens, with factional conflicts and failure to distance from former President Yoon Suk Yeol, weakening Yoon Sang-hyun's prospects
Yoon Sang-hyun dips to 30%3%
Internal discord within the People Power Party deepens, with factional conflicts and failure to distance from former President Yoon Suk Yeol, weakening Yoon Sang-hyun's prospects and causing a
Yang Seung‑jo’s 25% vote share ties with Park Soo‑hyun’s 25% in final round
Yang Seung‑jo’s 25% vote share ties with Park Soo‑hyun’s 25% in final round
Democratic Party finalises Park Soo‑hyun’s nomination as its Chungcheongnam‑do governor candidate, setting up a high‑profile showdown with incumbent Kim Tae‑heum
Kim Tae‑heum drops to 28%5%
Democratic Party finalises Park Soo‑hyun’s nomination as its Chungcheongnam‑do governor candidate, setting up a high‑profile showdown with incumbent Kim Tae‑heum
Democratic Party’s internal primary results show Park Soo‑hyun winning the June 3 primary decisively, confirming the party’s front‑runner and sending Kang Hoon‑sik’s odds down
Kang Hoon‑sik dips to 34%1%
Democratic Party’s internal primary results show Park Soo‑hyun winning the June 3 primary decisively, confirming the party’s front‑runner and sending Kang Hoon‑sik’s odds down
Moon Jin‑seok briefly appeared in a televised town‑hall meeting, presenting a new policy platform that lifted his odds temporarily
Moon Jin‑seok rises to 38%1%
Moon Jin‑seok briefly appeared in a televised town‑hall meeting, presenting a new policy platform that lifted his odds temporarily
Moon Jin‑seok wins the Democratic Party’s internal poll with 38% support, overtaking rival Park Soo‑hyun
Moon Jin‑seok jumps to 38%7%
Moon Jin‑seok wins the Democratic Party’s internal poll with 38% support, overtaking rival Park Soo‑hyun
Sung Il-jong, as chairman of the National Assembly's National Defense Committee, publicly pressed President Lee Jae-myung to scrap a policy, highlighting his active political role
Sung Il-jong dips to 18%4%
Sung Il-jong, as chairman of the National Assembly's National Defense Committee, publicly pressed President Lee Jae-myung to scrap a policy, highlighting his active political role but limited electoral traction
People Power Party opens an “additional nomination” process for South Chungcheong, signalling that incumbent Governor Kim Tae‑heum must re‑apply for his own candidacy
Kim Tae-heum drops to 18%10%
People Power Party opens an “additional nomination” process for South Chungcheong, signalling that incumbent Governor Kim Tae‑heum must re‑apply for his own candidacy
Park Soo‑hyun’s 25% vote share beats Yang Seung‑jo’s 25% in runoff
Park Soo‑hyun’s 25% vote share beats Yang Seung‑jo’s 25% in runoff
Democratic Party announces main race candidates for Chungcheongnam governor, confirming Yang Seung-jo among the contenders alongside Park Soo-hyun and Na So-yeol, setting the
Yang Seung-jo dips to 25%1%
Democratic Party announces main race candidates for Chungcheongnam governor, confirming Yang Seung-jo among the contenders alongside Park Soo-hyun and Na So-yeol, setting the stage for a competitive primary
Yoon Sang-hyun publicly urges decisive action from the People Power Party leadership amid internal struggles, attempting to rally support, which temporarily boosts his market
Yoon Sang-hyun jumps to 47%11%
Yoon Sang-hyun publicly urges decisive action from the People Power Party leadership amid internal struggles, attempting to rally support, which temporarily boosts his market
Kim Tae‑heum declines to file for the governor nomination, citing the pending integration bill as “inappropriate” to run before it is finalized
Kim Tae‑heum surges to 33%15%
Kim Tae‑heum declines to file for the governor nomination, citing the pending integration bill as “inappropriate” to run before it is finalized
Yang Seung‑jo’s odds fall to 1% after Park Soo‑hyun’s victory
Yang Seung‑jo plunges to 1%25%
Yang Seung‑jo’s odds fall to 1% after Park Soo‑hyun’s victory
People Power Party opens additional nominations for Seoul and South Chungcheong;
Kim Tae‑heum rises to 26%3%
Kim Tae‑heum signals he will apply for the extra nomination, hinting at uncertainty about his candidacy
Park Soo-hyun wins the Democratic Party primary for Chungcheongnam governor, solidifying his position as the main challenger and causing a sharp drop in Yoon Sang-hyun's market
Yoon Sang-hyun plunges to 2%25%
Park Soo-hyun wins the Democratic Party primary for Chungcheongnam governor, solidifying his position as the main challenger and causing a sharp drop in Yoon Sang-hyun's market
Kim Tae‑heum and Daejeon Mayor Lee Jang‑woo publicly criticize the Democratic Party’s new integration proposal, stressing bill content over politics
Kim Tae‑heum plunges to 23%26%
Kim Tae‑heum and Daejeon Mayor Lee Jang‑woo publicly criticize the Democratic Party’s new integration proposal, stressing bill content over politics
Kim Tae‑heum and Daejeon Mayor Lee Jang‑woo publicly criticize the Democratic Party’s new Daejeon‑Chungnam integration proposal, turning the issue into a partisan fight
Kim Tae-heum drops to 26%5%
Kim Tae‑heum and Daejeon Mayor Lee Jang‑woo publicly criticize the Democratic Party’s new Daejeon‑Chungnam integration proposal, turning the issue into a partisan fight
Yang Seung‑jo receives 40% implied probability in poll, Park Soo‑hyun leads
Yang Seung‑jo jumps to 40%14%
Yang Seung‑jo receives 40% implied probability in poll, Park Soo‑hyun leads
Discussions on integration gained momentum with attention on candidates for the head of the integrated local government, increasing uncertainty about Sung Il-jong’s candidacy
Sung Il-jong rises to 23%1%
Discussions on integration gained momentum with attention on candidates for the head of the integrated local government, increasing uncertainty about Sung Il-jong’s candidacy viability
Moon Jin‑seok was named a potential “dark horse” in a Seoul Economic Daily analysis of the upcoming Chungcheongnam‑do race, prompting a modest
Moon Jin‑seok rises to 32%3%
Moon Jin‑seok was named a potential “dark horse” in a Seoul Economic Daily analysis of the upcoming Chungcheongnam‑do race, prompting a modest
Moon Jin‑seok receives endorsement from former governor Lee Wan‑gu, boosting his standing among regional party elders
Moon Jin-seok jumps to 27%11%
Moon Jin‑seok receives endorsement from former governor Lee Wan‑gu, boosting his standing among regional party elders
Kang Hoon-sik appointed as presidential chief of staff by President Lee Jae Myung, signaling his shift from legislative to executive role and reducing likelihood of gubernatorial
Kang Hoon-sik surges to 22%20%
Kang Hoon-sik appointed as presidential chief of staff by President Lee Jae Myung, signaling his shift from legislative to executive role and reducing likelihood of gubernatorial run
Yang Seung‑jo’s implied probability drops to near zero as Park Soo‑hyun’s nomination solidifies
Yang Seung‑jo plunges to 0%32%
Yang Seung‑jo’s implied probability drops to near zero as Park Soo‑hyun’s nomination solidifies
Park Soo-hyun hits a low point in support amid internal party competition and uncertainty about nomination
Park Soo-hyun surges to 29%26%
Park Soo-hyun hits a low point in support amid internal party competition and uncertainty about nomination
President Lee Jae-myung holds a Town Hall Meeting in Cheonan, Chungcheongnam-do, discussing the integration of Chungnam and Daejeon, with Yang Seung-jo mentioned among potential
Yang Seung-jo plunges to 32%17%
President Lee Jae-myung holds a Town Hall Meeting in Cheonan, Chungcheongnam-do, discussing the integration of Chungnam and Daejeon, with Yang Seung-jo mentioned among potential candidates for the integrated local government head, raising his profile early in the election cycle
President Lee Jae-myung held a Town Hall Meeting on the integration of Chungnam and Daejeon, signaling political shifts that complicated Sung Il-jong’s prospects amid integration
Sung Il-jong jumps to 22%6%
President Lee Jae-myung held a Town Hall Meeting on the integration of Chungnam and Daejeon, signaling political shifts that complicated Sung Il-jong’s prospects amid integration talks
Park Soo‑hyun wins Democratic Party nomination, beating former Governor Yang Seung‑jo
Park Soo‑hyun wins Democratic Party nomination, beating former Governor Yang Seung‑jo
Park Soo‑hyun defeats Yang Seung‑jo in runoff; 33% vote share
Yang Seung‑jo plunges to 33%16%
Park Soo‑hyun defeats Yang Seung‑jo in runoff; 33% vote share
An early‑season opinion poll released by a local research institute gave Moon Jin‑seok a surprisingly low 7 % support level, triggering the market’s first major dip
Moon Jin‑seok plunges to 11%37%
An early‑season opinion poll released by a local research institute gave Moon Jin‑seok a surprisingly low 7 % support level, triggering the market’s first major dip
Moon Jin‑seok files his official candidacy for the Chungcheongnam‑do governorship, becoming the first Democratic Party lawmaker to announce a bid
Moon Jin-seok drops to 35%13%
Moon Jin‑seok files his official candidacy for the Chungcheongnam‑do governorship, becoming the first Democratic Party lawmaker to announce a bid
Yoon Sang-hyun emerges as a potential candidate for the Chungcheongnam governor race, initially gaining market attention with about 49-50%
Yoon Sang-hyun surges to 49%49%
Yoon Sang-hyun emerges as a potential candidate for the Chungcheongnam governor race, initially gaining market attention with about 49-50%
Prediction market launched with Kang Hoon-sik as a leading candidate for Chungcheongnam governor
Prediction market launched with Kang Hoon-sik as a leading candidate for Chungcheongnam governor
Forty-five members of the People Power Party, including Sung Il-jong, proposed a special bill for the establishment of Daejeon Chungcheongnam-do integration and an economic
Sung Il-jong plunges to 24%25%
Forty-five members of the People Power Party, including Sung Il-jong, proposed a special bill for the establishment of Daejeon Chungcheongnam-do integration and an economic science school, raising his profile in regional politics
Democratic Party primary for Chungcheongnam governor begins with Park Soo-hyun as a leading candidate among multiple contenders
Park Soo-hyun plunges to 3%45%
Democratic Party primary for Chungcheongnam governor begins with Park Soo-hyun as a leading candidate among multiple contenders
Democratic Party selects Park Soo‑hyun & former Governor Yang Seung‑jo as runoff candidates for Chungcheongnam Governor race
Yang Seung‑jo plunges to 1%48%
Democratic Party selects Park Soo‑hyun & former Governor Yang Seung‑jo as runoff candidates for Chungcheongnam Governor race
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes