Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson led the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District with roughly 39-41% of the vote, followed closely by fellow Democrat Eric Jones at about 22%. Republican Raymond Riehle placed third near 21% in final tallies, with other GOP candidates trailing further behind. California's nonpartisan primary advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general election regardless of party, producing an all-Democratic matchup. Thompson's long incumbency and moderate profile, combined with Jones's endorsements from progressive groups and fundraising, shaped the outcome amid post-redistricting boundary changes. The general election contest between the two Democrats now heads to November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
$47,771 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
2%
Laurie MacKenzie
2%
Sharon Brown
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
John Wesley Tyler
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
$47,771 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$7,712 Vol.
100%
Eric Jones
$14,108 Vol.
95%
Trevor Merrell
$11,164 Vol.
2%
Laurie MacKenzie
$1,084 Vol.
2%
Sharon Brown
$5,074 Vol.
1%
Mandy Ghusar
$4,228 Vol.
<1%
John Wesley Tyler
$2,317 Vol.
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
$2,083 Vol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson led the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District with roughly 39-41% of the vote, followed closely by fellow Democrat Eric Jones at about 22%. Republican Raymond Riehle placed third near 21% in final tallies, with other GOP candidates trailing further behind. California's nonpartisan primary advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general election regardless of party, producing an all-Democratic matchup. Thompson's long incumbency and moderate profile, combined with Jones's endorsements from progressive groups and fundraising, shaped the outcome amid post-redistricting boundary changes. The general election contest between the two Democrats now heads to November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volumen
$47,771Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson led the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District with roughly 39-41% of the vote, followed closely by fellow Democrat Eric Jones at about 22%. Republican Raymond Riehle placed third near 21% in final tallies, with other GOP candidates trailing further behind. California's nonpartisan primary advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general election regardless of party, producing an all-Democratic matchup. Thompson's long incumbency and moderate profile, combined with Jones's endorsements from progressive groups and fundraising, shaped the outcome amid post-redistricting boundary changes. The general election contest between the two Democrats now heads to November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$47,771Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson led the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District with roughly 39-41% of the vote, followed closely by fellow Democrat Eric Jones at about 22%. Republican Raymond Riehle placed third near 21% in final tallies, with other GOP candidates trailing further behind. California's nonpartisan primary advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general election regardless of party, producing an all-Democratic matchup. Thompson's long incumbency and moderate profile, combined with Jones's endorsements from progressive groups and fundraising, shaped the outcome amid post-redistricting boundary changes. The general election contest between the two Democrats now heads to November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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