Trader consensus in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership election reflects a tight race among roughly 42,000 members, with Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 36% implied probability edging Caroline Elliott's 29%, despite a Research Co. poll released April 30 showing Peter Milobar (46%) and Elliott (44%) ahead among 2024 Conservative voters. The April 26 Vancouver debate featured sharp clashes on policy and party direction—particularly attacks by Findlay, Elliott, and Yuri Fulmer—without a clear frontrunner emerging, heightening uncertainty. Divergence from polls may stem from Findlay's federal MP experience and MLA endorsements, versus Elliott's BC Liberal ties and Milobar's legislative profile. Separation could arise from membership verification turnout by May 20, weighted riding vote dynamics in the May 23-29 online ballot, or late endorsements ahead of the May 30 convention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoB.C. Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Conservador
B.C. Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Conservador
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 36.0%
Caroline Elliott 29%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 10.7%
$89,225 Vol.
$89,225 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
36%

Caroline Elliott
29%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
11%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 36.0%
Caroline Elliott 29%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 10.7%
$89,225 Vol.
$89,225 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
36%

Caroline Elliott
29%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
11%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership election reflects a tight race among roughly 42,000 members, with Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 36% implied probability edging Caroline Elliott's 29%, despite a Research Co. poll released April 30 showing Peter Milobar (46%) and Elliott (44%) ahead among 2024 Conservative voters. The April 26 Vancouver debate featured sharp clashes on policy and party direction—particularly attacks by Findlay, Elliott, and Yuri Fulmer—without a clear frontrunner emerging, heightening uncertainty. Divergence from polls may stem from Findlay's federal MP experience and MLA endorsements, versus Elliott's BC Liberal ties and Milobar's legislative profile. Separation could arise from membership verification turnout by May 20, weighted riding vote dynamics in the May 23-29 online ballot, or late endorsements ahead of the May 30 convention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes