Trader consensus favors Kerry-Lynne Findlay at 37% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, ahead of Caroline Elliott at 28.5% in a tight race among the final five candidates—Iain Black, Peter Milobar, and Yuri Fulmer—reflecting a crowded field with no dominant front-runner after multiple dropouts and endorsements consolidated support. A Research Co. poll released April 30 among 2024 Conservative voters shows vote consideration clustered closely: Milobar 46%, Elliott 44%, Findlay 41%, Fulmer 38%, and Black 37%, underscoring electability concerns and high undecideds driving caution. Late-April debates in Vancouver highlighted policy clashes on resource development and party unity but failed to separate leaders, while party membership swelled to 42,000 amid identity verification for online ballots starting May 9. Late endorsements, fundraising surges, or turnout from rural ridings could tip the weighted electoral district vote by May 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoB.C. Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Conservador
B.C. Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Conservador
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 37.3%
Caroline Elliott 29%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 11.2%
$89,223 Vol.
$89,223 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
37%

Caroline Elliott
29%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
11%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 37.3%
Caroline Elliott 29%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 11.2%
$89,223 Vol.
$89,223 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
37%

Caroline Elliott
29%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
11%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Kerry-Lynne Findlay at 37% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, ahead of Caroline Elliott at 28.5% in a tight race among the final five candidates—Iain Black, Peter Milobar, and Yuri Fulmer—reflecting a crowded field with no dominant front-runner after multiple dropouts and endorsements consolidated support. A Research Co. poll released April 30 among 2024 Conservative voters shows vote consideration clustered closely: Milobar 46%, Elliott 44%, Findlay 41%, Fulmer 38%, and Black 37%, underscoring electability concerns and high undecideds driving caution. Late-April debates in Vancouver highlighted policy clashes on resource development and party unity but failed to separate leaders, while party membership swelled to 42,000 amid identity verification for online ballots starting May 9. Late endorsements, fundraising surges, or turnout from rural ridings could tip the weighted electoral district vote by May 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes