Trader consensus in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership election favors former federal MP Kerry-Lynne Findlay at 40.9% implied probability, driven by her commanding lead in MLA endorsements—10 sitting or former legislators versus competitors' fewer—and federal experience as Chief Opposition Whip, appealing amid membership swelling to 42,000 by April 22. Caroline Elliott holds 27% on strong ad spending and Google Trends interest, while Peter Milobar trails at 16% despite electability edges in March Mainstreet polling of members. Recent all-candidates debates on April 24 and 28 highlighted clashes, including Fulmer-Elliott tensions, but no clear polling surge; April 16-18 Research Co. data shows Elliott and Milobar ahead among 2024 Conservative voters (27% and 25%). Ranked-choice voting begins May 9, with high undecideds (over 30% in polls) and a May 9 Global News debate poised to shift dynamics before the May 30 result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoB.C. Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Conservador
B.C. Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Conservador
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 41.0%
Caroline Elliott 27%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 11.2%
$100,643 Vol.
$100,643 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
41%

Caroline Elliott
27%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
11%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 41.0%
Caroline Elliott 27%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 11.2%
$100,643 Vol.
$100,643 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
41%

Caroline Elliott
27%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
11%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership election favors former federal MP Kerry-Lynne Findlay at 40.9% implied probability, driven by her commanding lead in MLA endorsements—10 sitting or former legislators versus competitors' fewer—and federal experience as Chief Opposition Whip, appealing amid membership swelling to 42,000 by April 22. Caroline Elliott holds 27% on strong ad spending and Google Trends interest, while Peter Milobar trails at 16% despite electability edges in March Mainstreet polling of members. Recent all-candidates debates on April 24 and 28 highlighted clashes, including Fulmer-Elliott tensions, but no clear polling surge; April 16-18 Research Co. data shows Elliott and Milobar ahead among 2024 Conservative voters (27% and 25%). Ranked-choice voting begins May 9, with high undecideds (over 30% in polls) and a May 9 Global News debate poised to shift dynamics before the May 30 result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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