Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to maintain its 2.50% base rate at the May 28 meeting, reflecting the central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to hold steady amid balanced growth and inflation risks. Q1 2026 GDP surged 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—far exceeding forecasts—driven by semiconductor exports, while March CPI rose 2.2% year-on-year, near the 2% target but with upside pressures from Middle East war-related oil shocks noted in recent policy minutes. Geopolitical uncertainty and a hawkish governor nominee reinforce caution against cuts or hikes. A sharp inflation acceleration beyond 2.5% or sudden economic slowdown could challenge this positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en mayo?
¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en mayo?
Sin cambios 93%
Aumento 5%
Disminuir 1.3%
$46,155 Vol.
$46,155 Vol.
Disminuir
1%
Sin cambios
93%
Aumento
5%
Sin cambios 93%
Aumento 5%
Disminuir 1.3%
$46,155 Vol.
$46,155 Vol.
Disminuir
1%
Sin cambios
93%
Aumento
5%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to maintain its 2.50% base rate at the May 28 meeting, reflecting the central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to hold steady amid balanced growth and inflation risks. Q1 2026 GDP surged 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—far exceeding forecasts—driven by semiconductor exports, while March CPI rose 2.2% year-on-year, near the 2% target but with upside pressures from Middle East war-related oil shocks noted in recent policy minutes. Geopolitical uncertainty and a hawkish governor nominee reinforce caution against cuts or hikes. A sharp inflation acceleration beyond 2.5% or sudden economic slowdown could challenge this positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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