Traders price Miami's June 30 median home value across tightly clustered ranges from below $1.072 million to above $1.237 million, with no outcome exceeding 29 percent implied probability, underscoring substantial uncertainty near resolution. Recent Redfin and Zillow data through April show median sale prices around $580,000–$690,000 amid modest year-over-year shifts, elevated insurance costs, and rising inventory that have tempered appreciation. Mortgage rate stability and condo segment softness continue to weigh on demand, while single-family homes hold firmer support. With the measurement window closing in weeks, final monthly releases on sales volume, days on market, and price per square foot will likely determine the precise bin, as small revisions can shift outcomes across the evenly matched probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1.171M - $1.204M 29%
>$1.237M 29%
$1.204M - $1.237M 29%
$1.072M - $1.105M 28%
<$1.072M
26%
$1.072M - $1.105M
28%
$1.105M - $1.138M
26%
$1.138M - $1.171M
28%
$1.171M - $1.204M
29%
$1.204M - $1.237M
29%
>$1.237M
29%
$1.171M - $1.204M 29%
>$1.237M 29%
$1.204M - $1.237M 29%
$1.072M - $1.105M 28%
<$1.072M
26%
$1.072M - $1.105M
28%
$1.105M - $1.138M
26%
$1.138M - $1.171M
28%
$1.171M - $1.204M
29%
$1.204M - $1.237M
29%
>$1.237M
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price Miami's June 30 median home value across tightly clustered ranges from below $1.072 million to above $1.237 million, with no outcome exceeding 29 percent implied probability, underscoring substantial uncertainty near resolution. Recent Redfin and Zillow data through April show median sale prices around $580,000–$690,000 amid modest year-over-year shifts, elevated insurance costs, and rising inventory that have tempered appreciation. Mortgage rate stability and condo segment softness continue to weigh on demand, while single-family homes hold firmer support. With the measurement window closing in weeks, final monthly releases on sales volume, days on market, and price per square foot will likely determine the precise bin, as small revisions can shift outcomes across the evenly matched probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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