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icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?

$554k - $558k 53%

$570k - $572k 52%

$562k - $566k 50%

$558k - $562k 48%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$554k - $558k 53%

$570k - $572k 52%

$562k - $566k 50%

$558k - $562k 48%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$554k

$25 Vol.

27%

$554k - $558k

$0 Vol.

53%

$558k - $562k

$0 Vol.

48%

$562k - $566k

$0 Vol.

50%

$566k - $570k

$0 Vol.

48%

$570k - $572k

$0 Vol.

52%

>$572k

$25 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent mixed housing data and elevated inventory have created tight trader consensus across the $554k–$572k brackets for the DC metro median home value on June 30. April Redfin figures showed median sale prices near $650k but down 5% year-over-year, while Zillow estimates hovered around $580k with a 3% decline; forecasts from Bright MLS and others project a modest 1% correction for 2026 amid federal employment uncertainty and rising listings. With resolution just weeks away, the even distribution of market-implied odds reflects uncertainty over final transaction volumes, seasonal adjustments, and any late data revisions rather than a clear directional trend.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volumen
$50
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent mixed housing data and elevated inventory have created tight trader consensus across the $554k–$572k brackets for the DC metro median home value on June 30. April Redfin figures showed median sale prices near $650k but down 5% year-over-year, while Zillow estimates hovered around $580k with a 3% decline; forecasts from Bright MLS and others project a modest 1% correction for 2026 amid federal employment uncertainty and rising listings. With resolution just weeks away, the even distribution of market-implied odds reflects uncertainty over final transaction volumes, seasonal adjustments, and any late data revisions rather than a clear directional trend.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volumen
$50
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">$572k" con 27%, seguido de "$554k - $558k" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?" es ">$572k" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$554k - $558k" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.