Recent labor market data and Federal Reserve signals have kept probabilities tightly clustered for the June nonfarm payrolls report. The 100k–150k range leads at a 40.5% implied probability, yet outcomes below 100k collectively command nearly 40% each, reflecting trader focus on cooling hiring trends, prior employment revisions, and persistent inflation concerns. This dispersion highlights uncertainty over whether the labor market will show moderate resilience or further softening, with upcoming inflation releases and any additional central bank commentary likely to sharpen positioning ahead of the report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0 – 50 mil 38%
50.000 – 100.000 38%
200k+ 37%
<0 37%
<0
37%
0 – 50 mil
38%
50.000 – 100.000
38%
100.000 – 150.000
42%
150 mil – 200 mil
36%
200k+
37%
0 – 50 mil 38%
50.000 – 100.000 38%
200k+ 37%
<0 37%
<0
37%
0 – 50 mil
38%
50.000 – 100.000
38%
100.000 – 150.000
42%
150 mil – 200 mil
36%
200k+
37%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data and Federal Reserve signals have kept probabilities tightly clustered for the June nonfarm payrolls report. The 100k–150k range leads at a 40.5% implied probability, yet outcomes below 100k collectively command nearly 40% each, reflecting trader focus on cooling hiring trends, prior employment revisions, and persistent inflation concerns. This dispersion highlights uncertainty over whether the labor market will show moderate resilience or further softening, with upcoming inflation releases and any additional central bank commentary likely to sharpen positioning ahead of the report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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