Recent data releases through April 2026 show Los Angeles Metro median sale prices holding near $1.0 million with year-over-year declines of roughly 1-2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5 percent, modestly higher inventory, and persistent affordability constraints that have tempered buyer demand. With resolution on June 30 just weeks away, these factors have produced tightly clustered market-implied odds across the $1.172 million–$1.216 million+ ranges, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal patterns, any late-May price revisions, or shifts in transaction volume will push the final median into one narrow band versus another. Traders appear to weigh stable fundamentals against the potential for minor upside from limited supply in higher-value segments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1.172M - $1.181M 29%
$1.181M - $1.190M 28%
$1.208M - $1.216M 28%
$1.190M - $1.199M 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.172M
27%
$1.172M - $1.181M
29%
$1.181M - $1.190M
28%
$1.190M - $1.199M
28%
$1.199M - $1.208M
27%
$1.208M - $1.216M
28%
>$1.216M
27%
$1.172M - $1.181M 29%
$1.181M - $1.190M 28%
$1.208M - $1.216M 28%
$1.190M - $1.199M 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.172M
$0 Vol.
27%
$1.172M - $1.181M
$0 Vol.
29%
$1.181M - $1.190M
$0 Vol.
28%
$1.190M - $1.199M
$0 Vol.
28%
$1.199M - $1.208M
$0 Vol.
27%
$1.208M - $1.216M
$0 Vol.
28%
>$1.216M
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent data releases through April 2026 show Los Angeles Metro median sale prices holding near $1.0 million with year-over-year declines of roughly 1-2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5 percent, modestly higher inventory, and persistent affordability constraints that have tempered buyer demand. With resolution on June 30 just weeks away, these factors have produced tightly clustered market-implied odds across the $1.172 million–$1.216 million+ ranges, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal patterns, any late-May price revisions, or shifts in transaction volume will push the final median into one narrow band versus another. Traders appear to weigh stable fundamentals against the potential for minor upside from limited supply in higher-value segments.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent data releases through April 2026 show Los Angeles Metro median sale prices holding near $1.0 million with year-over-year declines of roughly 1-2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5 percent, modestly higher inventory, and persistent affordability constraints that have tempered buyer demand. With resolution on June 30 just weeks away, these factors have produced tightly clustered market-implied odds across the $1.172 million–$1.216 million+ ranges, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal patterns, any late-May price revisions, or shifts in transaction volume will push the final median into one narrow band versus another. Traders appear to weigh stable fundamentals against the potential for minor upside from limited supply in higher-value segments.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data releases through April 2026 show Los Angeles Metro median sale prices holding near $1.0 million with year-over-year declines of roughly 1-2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5 percent, modestly higher inventory, and persistent affordability constraints that have tempered buyer demand. With resolution on June 30 just weeks away, these factors have produced tightly clustered market-implied odds across the $1.172 million–$1.216 million+ ranges, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal patterns, any late-May price revisions, or shifts in transaction volume will push the final median into one narrow band versus another. Traders appear to weigh stable fundamentals against the potential for minor upside from limited supply in higher-value segments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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