Traders price "Nothing" at 89% for the June market because early-month developments have not triggered any of the listed resolution criteria, such as a Federal Reserve rate cut, U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, or direct military action against Iran. Ongoing Middle East tensions, including Hezbollah statements on Lebanon ceasefires and congressional votes on Iran war powers, remain below escalation thresholds. Routine executive actions, Senate reconciliation proceedings, and Supreme Court rulings on redistricting have likewise produced no transformative shifts. With June only days old and no scheduled catalysts imminent, the pricing captures consensus that stability will persist through the resolution window absent sudden diplomatic or policy breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlgo
$11,850 Vol.
$11,850 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Algo
$11,850 Vol.
$11,850 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdfTraders price "Nothing" at 89% for the June market because early-month developments have not triggered any of the listed resolution criteria, such as a Federal Reserve rate cut, U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, or direct military action against Iran. Ongoing Middle East tensions, including Hezbollah statements on Lebanon ceasefires and congressional votes on Iran war powers, remain below escalation thresholds. Routine executive actions, Senate reconciliation proceedings, and Supreme Court rulings on redistricting have likewise produced no transformative shifts. With June only days old and no scheduled catalysts imminent, the pricing captures consensus that stability will persist through the resolution window absent sudden diplomatic or policy breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$11,850Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdfTraders price "Nothing" at 89% for the June market because early-month developments have not triggered any of the listed resolution criteria, such as a Federal Reserve rate cut, U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, or direct military action against Iran. Ongoing Middle East tensions, including Hezbollah statements on Lebanon ceasefires and congressional votes on Iran war powers, remain below escalation thresholds. Routine executive actions, Senate reconciliation proceedings, and Supreme Court rulings on redistricting have likewise produced no transformative shifts. With June only days old and no scheduled catalysts imminent, the pricing captures consensus that stability will persist through the resolution window absent sudden diplomatic or policy breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
Volumen
$11,850Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price "Nothing" at 89% for the June market because early-month developments have not triggered any of the listed resolution criteria, such as a Federal Reserve rate cut, U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, or direct military action against Iran. Ongoing Middle East tensions, including Hezbollah statements on Lebanon ceasefires and congressional votes on Iran war powers, remain below escalation thresholds. Routine executive actions, Senate reconciliation proceedings, and Supreme Court rulings on redistricting have likewise produced no transformative shifts. With June only days old and no scheduled catalysts imminent, the pricing captures consensus that stability will persist through the resolution window absent sudden diplomatic or policy breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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