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icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?

<$339k 47%

$339k - $342k 29%

$342k - $345k 28%

$351k - $354k 28%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$339k 47%

$339k - $342k 29%

$342k - $345k 28%

$351k - $354k 28%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$339k

$21 Vol.

47%

$339k - $342k

$0 Vol.

29%

$342k - $345k

$0 Vol.

28%

$345k - $348k

$0 Vol.

27%

$348k - $351k

$0 Vol.

26%

$351k - $354k

$0 Vol.

28%

>$354k

$30 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent data releases show Chicago's typical home values rising modestly amid persistently low inventory and steady buyer demand, with Zillow's ZHVI at $324,183 as of late April 2026, up 3.1% year-over-year. Redfin median sale prices reached $395,400–$409,000 in recent months, reflecting 5–6% annual gains that outpace the national average. Mortgage rates near 6% continue to constrain supply as homeowners remain rate-locked, while forecasts from Illinois Realtors and local analysts project 4–5% price growth through 2026 driven by limited new construction and resilient employment. With June 30 resolution approaching during peak selling season, trader-implied odds around the $339k–$354k range aggregate expectations for incremental appreciation without a sharp acceleration or reversal.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volumen
$51
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent data releases show Chicago's typical home values rising modestly amid persistently low inventory and steady buyer demand, with Zillow's ZHVI at $324,183 as of late April 2026, up 3.1% year-over-year. Redfin median sale prices reached $395,400–$409,000 in recent months, reflecting 5–6% annual gains that outpace the national average. Mortgage rates near 6% continue to constrain supply as homeowners remain rate-locked, while forecasts from Illinois Realtors and local analysts project 4–5% price growth through 2026 driven by limited new construction and resilient employment. With June 30 resolution approaching during peak selling season, trader-implied odds around the $339k–$354k range aggregate expectations for incremental appreciation without a sharp acceleration or reversal.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volumen
$51
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">$354k" con 48%, seguido de "<$339k" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?" es ">$354k" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<$339k" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Chicago el 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.