Recent housing market data for the San Francisco metropolitan area shows median sale prices reaching $1.7 million in March 2026, reflecting a 14.4% year-over-year increase driven by tech-sector demand and limited inventory. This momentum supports trader consensus around the $1.20 million to $1.23 million range in market-implied odds, yet the near-even distribution across bins underscores uncertainty from seasonal adjustments and potential volatility in May and June releases. Key differentiating factors include ongoing strength in luxury segments versus broader metro averages, alongside macroeconomic influences such as interest rate paths and employment trends in the Bay Area. With resolution imminent, any final data revisions could shift outcomes within these tightly contested probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1.202M - $1.216M 52%
$1.216M - $1.230M 52%
>$1.244M 52%
$1.174M - $1.188M 51%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.174M
50%
$1.174M - $1.188M
51%
$1.188M - $1.202M
51%
$1.202M - $1.216M
52%
$1.216M - $1.230M
52%
$1.230M - $1.244M
50%
>$1.244M
52%
$1.202M - $1.216M 52%
$1.216M - $1.230M 52%
>$1.244M 52%
$1.174M - $1.188M 51%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.174M
$0 Vol.
50%
$1.174M - $1.188M
$0 Vol.
51%
$1.188M - $1.202M
$0 Vol.
51%
$1.202M - $1.216M
$0 Vol.
52%
$1.216M - $1.230M
$0 Vol.
52%
$1.230M - $1.244M
$0 Vol.
50%
>$1.244M
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent housing market data for the San Francisco metropolitan area shows median sale prices reaching $1.7 million in March 2026, reflecting a 14.4% year-over-year increase driven by tech-sector demand and limited inventory. This momentum supports trader consensus around the $1.20 million to $1.23 million range in market-implied odds, yet the near-even distribution across bins underscores uncertainty from seasonal adjustments and potential volatility in May and June releases. Key differentiating factors include ongoing strength in luxury segments versus broader metro averages, alongside macroeconomic influences such as interest rate paths and employment trends in the Bay Area. With resolution imminent, any final data revisions could shift outcomes within these tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent housing market data for the San Francisco metropolitan area shows median sale prices reaching $1.7 million in March 2026, reflecting a 14.4% year-over-year increase driven by tech-sector demand and limited inventory. This momentum supports trader consensus around the $1.20 million to $1.23 million range in market-implied odds, yet the near-even distribution across bins underscores uncertainty from seasonal adjustments and potential volatility in May and June releases. Key differentiating factors include ongoing strength in luxury segments versus broader metro averages, alongside macroeconomic influences such as interest rate paths and employment trends in the Bay Area. With resolution imminent, any final data revisions could shift outcomes within these tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing market data for the San Francisco metropolitan area shows median sale prices reaching $1.7 million in March 2026, reflecting a 14.4% year-over-year increase driven by tech-sector demand and limited inventory. This momentum supports trader consensus around the $1.20 million to $1.23 million range in market-implied odds, yet the near-even distribution across bins underscores uncertainty from seasonal adjustments and potential volatility in May and June releases. Key differentiating factors include ongoing strength in luxury segments versus broader metro averages, alongside macroeconomic influences such as interest rate paths and employment trends in the Bay Area. With resolution imminent, any final data revisions could shift outcomes within these tightly contested probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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