Recent data releases show U.S. median home prices advancing at a modest pace, with Redfin reporting a 2.4% year-over-year gain to $396,173 in April 2026 and Zillow indicating typical values near $368,000 through month-end. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% continue to weigh on transaction volume and affordability, supporting analyst forecasts for 2026 price growth of just 0–2.2%. With June 30 resolution imminent and no major economic releases or policy shifts in the immediate term, these dynamics produce tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across the $429,000–$439,000 range, reflecting trader consensus on limited near-term volatility in the national median.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$429k - $431k 94%
<$429k 93%
$435,000 - $437,000 91%
>$439k 87%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
93%
$429k - $431k
94%
$431k - $433k
49%
$433k - $435k
47%
$435,000 - $437,000
91%
$437 mil - $439 mil
48%
>$439k
87%
$429k - $431k 94%
<$429k 93%
$435,000 - $437,000 91%
>$439k 87%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
$0 Vol.
93%
$429k - $431k
$0 Vol.
94%
$431k - $433k
$0 Vol.
49%
$433k - $435k
$0 Vol.
47%
$435,000 - $437,000
$0 Vol.
91%
$437 mil - $439 mil
$0 Vol.
48%
>$439k
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent data releases show U.S. median home prices advancing at a modest pace, with Redfin reporting a 2.4% year-over-year gain to $396,173 in April 2026 and Zillow indicating typical values near $368,000 through month-end. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% continue to weigh on transaction volume and affordability, supporting analyst forecasts for 2026 price growth of just 0–2.2%. With June 30 resolution imminent and no major economic releases or policy shifts in the immediate term, these dynamics produce tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across the $429,000–$439,000 range, reflecting trader consensus on limited near-term volatility in the national median.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent data releases show U.S. median home prices advancing at a modest pace, with Redfin reporting a 2.4% year-over-year gain to $396,173 in April 2026 and Zillow indicating typical values near $368,000 through month-end. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% continue to weigh on transaction volume and affordability, supporting analyst forecasts for 2026 price growth of just 0–2.2%. With June 30 resolution imminent and no major economic releases or policy shifts in the immediate term, these dynamics produce tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across the $429,000–$439,000 range, reflecting trader consensus on limited near-term volatility in the national median.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data releases show U.S. median home prices advancing at a modest pace, with Redfin reporting a 2.4% year-over-year gain to $396,173 in April 2026 and Zillow indicating typical values near $368,000 through month-end. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% continue to weigh on transaction volume and affordability, supporting analyst forecasts for 2026 price growth of just 0–2.2%. With June 30 resolution imminent and no major economic releases or policy shifts in the immediate term, these dynamics produce tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across the $429,000–$439,000 range, reflecting trader consensus on limited near-term volatility in the national median.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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