Recent May 2026 CPI data printed at 4.2% year-over-year—its highest since April 2023—driven by a 23.5% energy surge tied to geopolitical tensions, lifting the headline rate from April’s 3.8% while core CPI reached 2.9%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to 4.05% headline and 2.85% core, suggesting partial moderation if energy prices stabilize. Trader consensus clustering around 3.8–3.9% (over 70% combined probability) reflects expectations that base effects and cooling commodity pressures will offset persistent shelter and tariff pass-through, though upside risks from labor tightness and fiscal dynamics keep the distribution tight ahead of the July 14 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación de junio en EE. UU. - Anual
Inflación de junio en EE. UU. - Anual
3.8% 37.6%
3.9% 33%
3,7% 14.1%
4,0% 10%
$129,382 Vol.
$129,382 Vol.
15 jul 2026
≤3,6%
1%
3,7%
14%
3.8%
38%
3.9%
33%
4,0%
10%
4,1%
5%
4,2%
1%
4,3%
1%
4,4%
<1%
4,5%
<1%
4,6%
<1%
≥4,7%
1%
3.8% 37.6%
3.9% 33%
3,7% 14.1%
4,0% 10%
$129,382 Vol.
$129,382 Vol.
15 jul 2026
≤3,6%
$5,858 Vol.
1%
3,7%
$10,800 Vol.
14%
3.8%
$19,608 Vol.
38%
3.9%
$21,460 Vol.
33%
4,0%
$21,294 Vol.
10%
4,1%
$16,102 Vol.
5%
4,2%
$9,337 Vol.
1%
4,3%
$6,328 Vol.
1%
4,4%
$4,166 Vol.
<1%
4,5%
$5,237 Vol.
<1%
4,6%
$3,719 Vol.
<1%
≥4,7%
$5,526 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 CPI data printed at 4.2% year-over-year—its highest since April 2023—driven by a 23.5% energy surge tied to geopolitical tensions, lifting the headline rate from April’s 3.8% while core CPI reached 2.9%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to 4.05% headline and 2.85% core, suggesting partial moderation if energy prices stabilize. Trader consensus clustering around 3.8–3.9% (over 70% combined probability) reflects expectations that base effects and cooling commodity pressures will offset persistent shelter and tariff pass-through, though upside risks from labor tightness and fiscal dynamics keep the distribution tight ahead of the July 14 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Volumen
$129,382Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 CPI data printed at 4.2% year-over-year—its highest since April 2023—driven by a 23.5% energy surge tied to geopolitical tensions, lifting the headline rate from April’s 3.8% while core CPI reached 2.9%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to 4.05% headline and 2.85% core, suggesting partial moderation if energy prices stabilize. Trader consensus clustering around 3.8–3.9% (over 70% combined probability) reflects expectations that base effects and cooling commodity pressures will offset persistent shelter and tariff pass-through, though upside risks from labor tightness and fiscal dynamics keep the distribution tight ahead of the July 14 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$129,382Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 CPI data printed at 4.2% year-over-year—its highest since April 2023—driven by a 23.5% energy surge tied to geopolitical tensions, lifting the headline rate from April’s 3.8% while core CPI reached 2.9%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for June point to 4.05% headline and 2.85% core, suggesting partial moderation if energy prices stabilize. Trader consensus clustering around 3.8–3.9% (over 70% combined probability) reflects expectations that base effects and cooling commodity pressures will offset persistent shelter and tariff pass-through, though upside risks from labor tightness and fiscal dynamics keep the distribution tight ahead of the July 14 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes