High pressure over northern France, combined with clear skies and light winds, supports Météo-France and numerical weather prediction model consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C in Paris on June 14. This stable synoptic pattern has produced consistent forecast guidance positioning the observed peak squarely in the 25°C resolution bin. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this alignment of official observations and model runs. A modest increase in cloud cover, stronger afternoon mixing, or small errors in boundary-layer temperature forecasts could realistically shift the recorded high into the adjacent 24°C or 26°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 98.0%
26°C 2.5%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,605 Vol.
$107,605 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.0%
26°C 2.5%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,605 Vol.
$107,605 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure over northern France, combined with clear skies and light winds, supports Météo-France and numerical weather prediction model consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C in Paris on June 14. This stable synoptic pattern has produced consistent forecast guidance positioning the observed peak squarely in the 25°C resolution bin. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects this alignment of official observations and model runs. A modest increase in cloud cover, stronger afternoon mixing, or small errors in boundary-layer temperature forecasts could realistically shift the recorded high into the adjacent 24°C or 26°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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