Recent European ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF cluster the June 15 minimum temperature in central Paris near the 12–13 °C range, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Building high pressure and mostly clear skies are expected to promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind could shift the low by 1 °C. This aligns with typical June climatology of 12–13 °C lows while reflecting the current anomalous warmth pattern that limits deeper cooling. Traders weigh the narrow spread in latest model runs against the potential for forecast revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 15 de junio?
12°C 39%
13°C 36%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
10°C o menos
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
45%
13°C
36%
14°C
6%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 36%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
10°C o menos
$17 Vol.
2%
11°C
$946 Vol.
6%
12°C
$131 Vol.
45%
13°C
$88 Vol.
36%
14°C
$26 Vol.
6%
15°C
$42 Vol.
4%
16°C
$291 Vol.
1%
17°C
$556 Vol.
1%
18°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF cluster the June 15 minimum temperature in central Paris near the 12–13 °C range, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Building high pressure and mostly clear skies are expected to promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind could shift the low by 1 °C. This aligns with typical June climatology of 12–13 °C lows while reflecting the current anomalous warmth pattern that limits deeper cooling. Traders weigh the narrow spread in latest model runs against the potential for forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$3,320Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF cluster the June 15 minimum temperature in central Paris near the 12–13 °C range, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Building high pressure and mostly clear skies are expected to promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind could shift the low by 1 °C. This aligns with typical June climatology of 12–13 °C lows while reflecting the current anomalous warmth pattern that limits deeper cooling. Traders weigh the narrow spread in latest model runs against the potential for forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,320Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF cluster the June 15 minimum temperature in central Paris near the 12–13 °C range, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Building high pressure and mostly clear skies are expected to promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30 °C, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind could shift the low by 1 °C. This aligns with typical June climatology of 12–13 °C lows while reflecting the current anomalous warmth pattern that limits deeper cooling. Traders weigh the narrow spread in latest model runs against the potential for forecast revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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