Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, consistent with the market's 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology features average overnight lows near 12–13°C under typical high-pressure conditions, and recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow with light winds and clear skies promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Official resolution relies on standardized measurements at stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The near-certainty reflects tight model agreement and proximity to the observation window, though a late-arriving marine layer, increased cloud cover, or localized advection could realistically push the recorded minimum 1–2°C lower or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de junio?
13°C 99.8%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,685 Vol.
$12,685 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
13°C 99.8%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,685 Vol.
$12,685 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
$657 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,929 Vol.
100%
14°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, consistent with the market's 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology features average overnight lows near 12–13°C under typical high-pressure conditions, and recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow with light winds and clear skies promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Official resolution relies on standardized measurements at stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The near-certainty reflects tight model agreement and proximity to the observation window, though a late-arriving marine layer, increased cloud cover, or localized advection could realistically push the recorded minimum 1–2°C lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$12,685Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, consistent with the market's 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology features average overnight lows near 12–13°C under typical high-pressure conditions, and recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow with light winds and clear skies promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Official resolution relies on standardized measurements at stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The near-certainty reflects tight model agreement and proximity to the observation window, though a late-arriving marine layer, increased cloud cover, or localized advection could realistically push the recorded minimum 1–2°C lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,685Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, consistent with the market's 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology features average overnight lows near 12–13°C under typical high-pressure conditions, and recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow with light winds and clear skies promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Official resolution relies on standardized measurements at stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The near-certainty reflects tight model agreement and proximity to the observation window, though a late-arriving marine layer, increased cloud cover, or localized advection could realistically push the recorded minimum 1–2°C lower or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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