As of mid-2026, France's fragmented political field features multiple declared or testing candidates ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal of Renaissance, Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, and center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe. Recent catalysts include Retailleau's April party endorsement after an internal vote, Mélenchon's May declaration, Attal's formal launch, and Raphaël Glucksmann's book-tour outreach on the center-left. Polling shows National Rally's Jordan Bardella leading first-round intentions while runoff dynamics remain fluid, with divisions over alliances and primaries shaping momentum. Traders monitor further announcements, party conventions, and polling shifts through year-end as structural barriers like term limits and coalition negotiations influence entry decisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$21,864 Vol.
Éric Zemmour
71%
Jordan Bardella
75%
Michel Barnier
11%
Valérie Pécresse
13%
Élisabeth Borne
16%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
12%
Jean Castex
30%
Gérald Darmanin
35%
Sébastien Lecornu
35%
François Bayrou
10%
Bernard Cazeneuve
32%
Carole Delga
18%
Olivier Faure
49%
François Hollande
51%
Raphaël Glucksmann
67%
Manuel Bompard
6%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
99%
Mathilde Panot
6%
Dominique de Villepin
70%
Marine Le Pen
23%
$21,864 Vol.
Éric Zemmour
71%
Jordan Bardella
75%
Michel Barnier
11%
Valérie Pécresse
13%
Élisabeth Borne
16%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
12%
Jean Castex
30%
Gérald Darmanin
35%
Sébastien Lecornu
35%
François Bayrou
10%
Bernard Cazeneuve
32%
Carole Delga
18%
Olivier Faure
49%
François Hollande
51%
Raphaël Glucksmann
67%
Manuel Bompard
6%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
99%
Mathilde Panot
6%
Dominique de Villepin
70%
Marine Le Pen
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-2026, France's fragmented political field features multiple declared or testing candidates ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal of Renaissance, Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, and center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe. Recent catalysts include Retailleau's April party endorsement after an internal vote, Mélenchon's May declaration, Attal's formal launch, and Raphaël Glucksmann's book-tour outreach on the center-left. Polling shows National Rally's Jordan Bardella leading first-round intentions while runoff dynamics remain fluid, with divisions over alliances and primaries shaping momentum. Traders monitor further announcements, party conventions, and polling shifts through year-end as structural barriers like term limits and coalition negotiations influence entry decisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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