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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Elecciones·Elecciones Francesas

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Elecciones·Elecciones Francesas

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$21,864 Vol.

23 abr 2027
Polymarket

$21,864 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$238 Vol.

74%

Jordan Bardella

$1,558 Vol.

76%

Michel Barnier

$162 Vol.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Vol.

12%

Élisabeth Borne

$278 Vol.

16%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Vol.

12%

Jean Castex

$64 Vol.

29%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Vol.

35%

Sébastien Lecornu

$172 Vol.

33%

François Bayrou

$486 Vol.

11%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$51 Vol.

32%

Carole Delga

$154 Vol.

18%

Olivier Faure

$229 Vol.

50%

François Hollande

$132 Vol.

52%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$523 Vol.

66%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Vol.

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,393 Vol.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$8,757 Vol.

4%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 Vol.

69%

Marine Le Pen

$147 Vol.

22%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several prominent politicians have already declared or actively explored candidacies for France’s April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, driven by President Macron’s term limit and National Rally’s sustained polling lead. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid in early May, while Gabriel Attal formally launched his campaign later that month; Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement in April after an internal vote. Édouard Philippe continues to test support as a potential centrist unifier, and Raphaël Glucksmann has used recent book tours and rallies to gauge left-wing backing ahead of possible June decisions. These moves reflect party fragmentation, legal uncertainties surrounding Marine Le Pen, and the compressed timeline before first-round voting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$21,864
Fecha de finalización
23 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several prominent politicians have already declared or actively explored candidacies for France’s April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, driven by President Macron’s term limit and National Rally’s sustained polling lead. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid in early May, while Gabriel Attal formally launched his campaign later that month; Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement in April after an internal vote. Édouard Philippe continues to test support as a potential centrist unifier, and Raphaël Glucksmann has used recent book tours and rallies to gauge left-wing backing ahead of possible June decisions. These moves reflect party fragmentation, legal uncertainties surrounding Marine Le Pen, and the compressed timeline before first-round voting.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$21,864
Fecha de finalización
23 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 21 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gabriel Attal" con 100%, seguido de "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 99%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ha generado $21.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?", explora los 21 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" es "Gabriel Attal" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 99%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.